KukaXoco Finance: Investment Center
Can't Beat SPY and the Gold
There are a large number of poorly run, and/or with lousy innovation,
and/or focused on rewarding executives over shareholders, that across
10/20/30 years -- cannot outperform the SP500 Index (tradeable as SPY)
and the price of gold (tradeable as GLD). Fun for speculative trading,
the following should not be in most people's portfolios. And many of
these companies have a lot of debt, making them 'zombie' companies -
the walking dead.
Below are links to our web pages with technical analysis tools and relevant
markets news for various stocks, commodities and futures.
STOCKS/ACCIONES & ETFS
(
Note:
Text in brown below are clickable links.
(D) means the stock/ETF has daily options with high liquidity.
(W) means the stock/ETF has weekly options with high liquidity.
(F) means that there is a corresponding futures contract. ---
(D) significa que la acción/ETF tiene opciones diarias con alta
liquidez. (W) significa que la acción/ETF tiene opciones semanales
con alta liquidez. (F) significa que existe un contrato de futuros
correspondiente. The numbers in brackets, '[]', are the dividend (if any),
the rough cost of a one-week/one-month option.
[trend up / trend down: tendencia al alza / tendencia a la baja]
)
STUPIDITY THAT CAN'T BEAT GOLD
ESTUPIDEZ QUE NO PUEDE VENCER AL ORO
Find something whose economics is incompetently managed (such as most
countries' currencies -
from 2000 to 2022, gold beat the nine biggest currencies in the world).
Short that incompetence, and use the proceeds to buy gold. This is the gold
as "anti-stupidity insurance". Similarly, if a company can't beat gold in
the long, it should be put out of its (and our) misery. This has mostly
worked for the last 20 years, except when the Fed's MMT policies pushed
interest rates to to less than 1% (2009-2020).
Click here for:
lengthy table
of stocks whose price rose less than gold in the last 20 years.
Note: gold doesn't pay dividends. This can be compensated for by including
some options in the long-gold-short stupid strategy, for those who whine
about the importance of dividends. Though gold has
outperformed inflation in the USA since 1970.
And if a company underperforms gold/GLD, it will more underperform the SPY
ETF. Which is why Warren Buffett argues that
the SPY ETF (or equivalent SP500 stock/ETF) is the best option for most
investors. In almost every year since 2001, the SPY/SP500 has outperformed
most stocks and investment funds. If the pros can't beat the SPY/SP500 with
their picks, individual investors will have less success. And the SPY/VOO
have very low annual fees, as opposed to investment funds.
- GLD -
SPDR Gold Shares [0.0%] (NYSE)
(trend up)
Gold has been the champion asset for the 21st century. From 2000
to the end of 2024, the S&P500 recorded an annualized return of 7.7%, while
GLD/GSCIGold recorded an annualized return of 8.5% annually.
- AA -
Alcoa [0.91%] (NYSE)
(trend down since March 2022)
The price of Alcoa is mostly where it
was 20 years ago - zero growth, while the price of aluminum
is up 50%, and gold is up over 600%. The measily 0.9%
dividend is not worth the investment.
- AAL.L -
Anglo-American [2.7%] (LSE)
(trend up since 2015)
The price of Anglo American is pretty
much where it was 19 years ago, while the price of its main processed
metals - copper, iton, steel, nickel - have increased significantly.
It has mostly underperformed GLD and SPY in the last 20 years. In
October 2024, it announced that it will be
focusing on its copper mining activities, divesting away from iron
and the slowly collapsing diamond mining (synthetics becoming cheaper
and more popular). If you want to invest in copper, invest in SCCO.
- ABNB -
Airbnb [0.0%] (Nasdaq)
(trend flat)
IPOed at $146 and peaked at $219,
but slowly declined and is around $146 - nowhere in four years
with no dividend.
- ADM -
Archer-Daniels-Midlands [4.2%] (NYSE)
(trend flat since 2015)
Huge agriculture conglomerate. Small margins, though lower debt
levels. Still, in the last 20 years, it has been mostly outperformed
by SPY and GLD, except for bump in 2022 ($50 to $90 to $50 now)
Dividend is nice, but there are better underperforming stocks
with higher dividends (similar so-so performance to NTR below).
- AWK -
American Water Works [2.5%] (NYSE)
WTRG - and -
Essential Utilities [3.4%] (NYSE)
(trend flat since 2020)
A water and wastewater utility. From 2011 to 2020, it outpeformed
the SPY. Since 2020, it has been flat, and the 2.5% dividend is not
sufficient compensation. Debt/equity of 140%. In 2025, it merged
with Essential Utilities, which has a similar perfomance from 2011,
flat since 2019, a higher dividend of 3.4%, and debt/equity of 115%.
- BA -
Boeing [0.0%] (NYSE)
(trend down since February 2020)
Of course, some companies are so poorly
managed that despite trillions in socialist subsidies, they can't
beat gold and the SP500. Since 2000, gold has mostly beaten Boeing.
And will probably do so going forward (duck!). Even worse performance
than Boeing is one of its biggest customers, American Airlines (AAL),
down over 50% since September 2013. Schiff Gold:
Boeing's commercial jets struggle, but its military machines thrive,
all fueled by endless amounts of taxpayers' dollars.
As of October 2024, Boeing has $45 billion in net debt and has not
had a profitable year since 2018. From 2010 to 2019,
Boeing spent estimated $68 billion on executive-enriching share
repurchases and dividends, instead of improving quality and
innovation at the company. Five years later, in 2024, Boeing
announces that it is going to fire 17,000 people because it does
not have enough money. There are companies more ethically managed,
and offer better returns, than Boeing - invest in them (such as
COMAC in the long-term). But at least Boeing won't drop
much, because it has a
backlog of $500 billion in orders.
- BIIB -
Biogen [0.0%] (Nasdaq)
(trend down since December 2015)
From January 2014, while the SP500 was up over 200%, and GLD up over
100%, Biogen has been down 50%, with no dividend.
- BOOZ -
Booz Allen Hamilton [2.6%] (NYSE)
(flat since 2020)
For many years, consultancy Booz outperformed SPY, peaking at $162
in June 2024. But since then, it has plummeted 50% to $83, suffering
from a loss in government contracts, and going forward, from a loss
of corporate consulting work to companies using AI tools to prepare
similar analyses at a fraction of the cost. Even when the AI bubble
pops, the AI tools will still be there.
- BMY -
Bristol-Myers Squibb [5.75%] (NYSE)
(trend down since December 2022)
Since 2000, gold has mostly beaten
Bristol-Myers Squibb.
- CDE -
Coeur Mining [0.0%] (NYSE)
(trend down)
Mines copper and gold. Generally has underpeformed SPY and GLD
of the last 20 years. $70 in 2006, $35 in 2011, now around $7.
- CSCO -
Cisco [3.43%] (Nasdaq)
(trend down since December 2021)
Other than the 2000 dot.com boom/crash, and the 2014-2018 time
period, Cisco has never outperformed gold. In November 2024,
Cisco reports fourth straight quarter of declining revenue.
- CVS -
CVS Health [4.12%] (Nasdaq)
(trend down since March 2021)
Other than during Covid, CVS Health
has mostly underperformed SPY and GLD. Since 2014, the stock price
has basically been flat. There are better flat-performing stocks
with higher dividends. Barron's in October 2024 had a nice review
of the
many business and economic problems at CVS.
- DBX -
Dropbox [0.0%] (Nasdaq)
(trend down 2021)
Since it IPOed in 2017, and peaked at
43, it has been a rollercoaster, up and down, now at 27, well beaten
by GLD and SPY. An online storage prodiver, never could compete
well with the big cloud storage providers.
- DENN -
Denny's [0.0%] (Nasdaq)
(trend down 2019)
From 2009 to 2019, Denny's nicely outpeformed the SPY. But from
June 2019 onward, it significantly underperformed the SPY and
GLD, worse without offering a dividend, and with a debt/equity
ratio of over 100%. So poorly run, in November 2025, it was
was taken private in a $620 buyout deal
- DIS (W) -
Disney [0.73%] (NYSE)
(trend down since March 2021)
Since 2000, gold has always beaten Disney,
except when the Fed's MTRR policies pushed interest rates under
1% or so.
- DJT (W) -
Trump Media [Nasdaq]
(trend down since March 2024 IPO)
This is Trump's social media company,
which has a horribly unprofitable business model, with the stock
steadily declining since its IPO in March 2024. In September 2024,
Trump could start selling and by September 23rd,
shares of DJT are at 14-month lows, down more than 80% since March.
However, near the November 2024 elections, with greater odds of Trump
winning, shares of DJT have spiked.
- EB -
Eventbrite [0.0%] (NYSE)
(trend down)
Ticketing technology company. IPOed at
$40 in 2018, and steadily declined to $4 by October 2024. No
dividend. Loses money, debt/equity ration is about 2 - not worth
$340 million.
- EXPE -
Expedia [0.0%] (Nasdaq)
(trend up)
Online travel company. From its IPO in
2015 to 2013, it ourperformed SPY.From 2014 to 2024, it has
underperformed SPY. Debt/equity ratio is over 7. No dividend,
versus about 1% with the SPY.
- ENPH -
Enphase Energy [0.0%] (Nasdaq)
(trend down)
Produces equipment for solar energy and electric vehicle chargers.
Should be booming. But after an IPO in 2015, and peaking at $270
in June 2022, it crashed to $60 in November 2024 (down 80%). In
November 2024,
Enphase Energy fires hundreds of people as the solar and battery
industries suffer bleak trends.
- EWT -
iShares MSCI Taiwan ETF [3.3%] (NYSE)
(trend slightly up)
Since 2014, mostly outperformed by gold, and outperformed by the SPY.
Its 3.3% dividend isn't attractive enough to make it a buy.
Its poor performance is similar to that of EWY, the South Korea ETF.
- EWY -
iShares MSCI South Korea ETF [3.0%] (NYSE)
(trend flat since 2007)
Since 2000, mostly outperformed by gold, and outperformed by the SPY.
Its 3.0% dividend isn't attractive enough to make it a buy.
Its poor performance is similar to that of EWT, the Taiwan ETF.
- FDX -
FedEx [2.03%] (NYSE)
(trend down since May 2021)
Since 2000, mostly outperformed by gold.
Fedex's 2% dividend evens things out. Still is lackluster performance.
- FI -
Fiserv [0.0%] (NYSE)
(trend down since December 2024)
A payments technology company. From 2005 to 2024, it outpeformed
the SPY. Though a crash from $238 in December 2024 to $70 in October
2025, a 70% drop, means that it has underperformed the SPY since
2015 and effectivey flat since 2018. In December 2025, it will be
demoted from the NYSE to NASDAQ (new symbol FISV). A Simply Wall
Street article argued on October 9, 2025, that there could be
a 'buy the dip' opportunity for Fiserv:
Does Fiserv's recent 39% drop signal a rebound opportunity for 2025
investors? Not good advice. On October 29th,
Fiserv stock craters 40%, on pace for worst day ever after company
slashes guidance. It could be that Fiserv is not innovative
enough, and too small, to compete with the big AI/tech companies
taking total control of payments technology.
- GLW -
Corning [3.0%] (NYSE)
(trend down since April 2021, though about to break above)
Since 2000, except for dot-com boom/crash,
gold has always beaten Corning.
- GOLD -
Barrick Gold [2.1%] (NYSE)
(trend flat since 2004)
From 1994 to 2024, 30 years, Barrick has basically been flat at
around $20, though having a brief peak in 2010/11 at $50. For a
gold company to underperform GLD (as well as underperforming SPY)
is reflective of poor management. From 2004 to 2024, GOLD is flat
while GLD is up 600%.
- HBAN -
Huntington Bancshares [3.9%] (NASDAQ)
(trend flat)
An asset regional bank holding company. It crash 80%, from $25 to
$5, during the 2008 real-estate related market crash, but since
then has tripled to $15. Still, in the last 16 years it has much
underperformed the SPY, and the higher dividend isn't enough
compensation. From October 2025 to 2025, the SPY was up 20%,
while Huntington was flat, nullifying the dividend.
- Honda Motors - 7267.T -
Honda Motors [4.9%] (Tokyo)
(trend flat)
Since 2000, gold and the SPY have beaten Honda Motors. Since 2006,
the stock has mostly been flat. A 4.9% dividend is not enough
compensation for a lousy stock price (stocks with better
appreciation and dividends are available).
- IBM -
IBM [4.04%] (NYSE)
(trend up)
Since 2000, gold has always beaten IBM. A good example of why
the vast majority of the computing patents in the world are for
worthless non-innovations, since IBM has more such patents than
everyone else.
- IFF -
International Flavors & Fragrance [2.04%] (NYSE)
(trend down)
Since 2000, the SPY and GLD have outperformed IFF. 2% dividend
doesn't compensate for lack of performance. Peaked at $150 in
2017 and 2021, now at $75 in May 2025.
- INTC -
Intel [1.65%] (NYSE)
(trend down since April 2021)
Since 2000, gold has always beaten Intel,
except when the Fed's MTRR policies pushed interest rates to under
1% or so. Interestingly, Intel in the 2010's owned 15% of ASML,
one of the best performing tech stocks, and while selling the 15%
for a good profit, Intel has been hugely beat by ASML. Receipt of
billions in subsidies probably won't help much.
- JWN -
Nordstrom [3.6%] (NYSE)
(trend down)
For over 20 years, Nordstrom has underperform SPY and GLD, peaking
in 2014 and declining since then. Much like Toshiba, which greatly
underpeform GLD and SPY, in December 2024,
Nordstrom agreed to be bought out and turned into a private company,
the shareholders bought out by a partnership between the Nordstrom
familiy and Mexican department store El Puerto de Liverpool.
- IVZ -
Invesco [3.5%] (Nasdaq)
(trend flat)
For the last 30 years, Invesco has grossly undeperformed the SPY, and GLD,
and sadly, the QQQ - which Invesco sponsors. The dividend is inadequate
compensation. Debt to equity is 68%.
- KER -
Kering SA [2.7%] (Paris)
(trend down)
Horrible stock. Since 2020, it has underperformed SPY and GLD.
From a high of 790 in August 2021, it is down to 220 in March 2025,
a plummeting of 70%.
- KMB -
Kimberly-Clark [4.9%] (Nasdaq)
(trend flat)
Has underperformed the SPY and GLD for over 20 years, enough that
the dividend doesn't compensate for the poor performance. A huge
debt/equity ratio of 550%. In October 2025, it suffered its biggest
decline in over 30 years, when it announced that it would buy
Tylenol-maker Kenvue for $48 billion. A mismanaged company.
- LHX -
L3Harris Technologies [2.2%] (NYSE)
(trend flat)
Most flat since 2021, underperforming SPY and GLD. Strange for a
defense company.
- LULU -
Lululemon Athletica [0.0%] (Nasdaq)
(trend down)
Before Covid pandemic, Lululemon
outperformed GLD and SPY. Since 2020, Lululemon has underperformed
both, and the stock price, ups and downs, is essentially flat since
then.
- LUV -
Southwest Airlines [2.5%] (NYSE)
(trend down)
In the last 20 years, Southwest Airlines
has mostly been outperformed by the SPY and GLD. With a 2.45%
dividend, it all reflects a poorly managed company. Only price pop
could be a buyout in the future.
- LW -
Lamb Watson Holdings [2.0%] (NYSE)
(trend down)
They make frozen-potato products for
restaurants and retailers - french-fry suppliers. Since 2017,
the stock has mostly been flat, underperforming SPY and GLD.
Volatile, good for trading ups and downs, not a long-term hold.
Lamb Watson's sales and stock price are down in 2024 as high prices at
restaurants decreases sales of french fries, which people consume
less of at their homes.
Shares of Lamb-Watson, a major supplier of french fries to McDonald's,
decline 17% in pre-market trading, after the company missed its
second-quarter earnings and slashed full-year guidance for the second
consecutive time this year as demand for frozen potato products
sputtered.
- LYB -
LyondellBasell [6.5%] (NYSE)
(trend flat)
A huge plastics producing company. The stock has pretty much been
flat since 2014, averaging about $88. Dividend is nice, but not
nice enough for underperforming both SPY and GLD. One problem for
the company is that it is tied to the (lack of) plastics recycling
confronting the plastic industy.
- MGM -
MGM Resorts International [0.02%] (NYSE)
(trend up)
From 2000 to October 2007, MGM outperformed gold riding the real
estate bubble. But with the real estate bubble crash of 2008, MGM
went from a high of $100 to a low of $3 one year later. Since 2014,
MGM and gold have mostly tracked each other, with MGM offering a
measily 0.03% dividend. Not to be confused, MGM Studios is owned by
Amazon.
- MRNA -
Moderna [0.0%] (Nasdaq)
(trend down since 2021)
Moderna is a one-hit wonder, spiking from $25 to nearly $500 in 2021
before declining back to $25 by the end of 2025, the spike due to
its mRNA Covid vaccine during the Covid pandemic. Since then, nothing.
Flat compared to the huge rises in SPY and GLD, down 40% in 2025.
- MRVL -
Marvell Technology [0.2%] (Nasdaq)
(trend up)
Integrated circuit supplier. From 2002 to 2023, it mostly
underperformed SPY with a puny dividend of 0.20%, and currently
with negative earnings. But it 2024, it started outperforming the
SPY, riding the AI bubble. When the AI bubble bursts, so too will
Marvell's stock price.
- NME -
Newmont Corporation [2.0%] (NYSE)
(trend jump)
Has underperformed SPY and GLD since 2000, not good for a gold
mining company.
- NKE -
Nike [2.6%] (NYSE)
(trend down)
Flat since 2015, and thus has performed lousy against SPY and GLD
in the last 10 years. Downtrend since 2021. 2%+ dividend no relief.
After 53 years, Nike had the single worst day in stock price history. Here is how it happened.,
INC, 03 July 2024.
- NOK -
Nokia [2.1%] (NYSE)
(trend flat)
A horribly managed telecom company in Europe, the spike has been
steadily down since the DotCom bubble (though a brief spike during
the 2007/2007 real estate bubble, and has been pretty much flat
since 2011 while the Big Tech stocks bubbly-exploded. In October
2025, Nvidia bought $1 billion of new Nokia shares. Why?
- NTR -
Nutrien LTD [3.9%] (NYSE)
(trend down since 2022)
Canada-based provider of crop inputs and services. Has underperformed
SPY and GLD since its IPO in 2018, except for bump in 2022 ($50 to
$100 to $50 now). Dividend is nice, but there are better underperforming
stocks with higher dividends (similar so-so performance to ADM above).
a
- ONB -
Old National Bancorp [2.4%] (Nasdaq)
(trend up since 2009)
In 2008, it peaked around 20. Financial crisis of 2008 sent it down
to 10. Now it is at 23. Overall, it has underperformed SPY and mostly
underperformed GLD.
- OPEN -
Opendoor Technologies [0.0%] (Nasdaq)
(trend down)
From a high of $32 shortly after its IPO, it has plummeted to less
than $2 in 2024. Negative net margin, debt/equity ratio near 3,
not a very well run company making software for residential real
estate transactions.
- PPLT -
abrdn Physical Platinum Shares ETF [0.0%] (NYSE)
(trend down)
ETF that tracks the price of platinum. It has been flat for over
10 years, and down from a peak of $175 in 2010, to $100 in May
2025.
- PYPL -
PayPal [0.0%] (Nasdaq))
(trend down since July 2021)
Since its IPO in 2015, other than during the Covid lockdown
(when people where buying a lot from their homes), PayPal has
not beaten gold, and pays no dividend. Its last high was in July
2021 around $300, with a low of around $50 in November 2023 - down
over 80%. Sine then, it is up to about $80:
PayPal CEO's first year was praised by Wall Street, but hard part
starts now for struggling payments company.
The Nasdaq story - made its founders richer than the investors.
February 2025:
PayPal needs help from its oldest friends - consumers.
- PFE -
Pfizer [5.73%] (NYSE)
(trend down since December 2021)
Since 2000, gold has always beaten Pfizer.
This, even after it sold $12 billion of its Covid treatment,
nirmatrelvir, to the US government and its own study later
showed that the treatment is worthless - "the efficacy .... has
not been established". The stock price has also underperformed
despite Pfizer earning $75 billion in two years from vaccine sales.
A worthlessness now attracing lawsuits:
The state of Kansas sues Pfizer over 'misrepresentations' and 'adverse
events' of Covid-19 vaccines
- QRVO -
Qorvo [0.0%] (NASDAQ)
(trend down since March 2021)
Since 2015, it has been outperformed by SPY and GLD, except for a
post-Covid spike, otherwise it has been mostly flat. A telecom
(analog circuits and sensors) and defense company.
- 9984.T -
SoftBank Group [0.48%] (Tokyo)
(trend up)
A filthy-rich big investor in technology
that really doesn't understand technology. After its IPO high in
2000 at 11,000 yen, it crashed 96% to about 400 yen by 2002.
From 2002 to early 2013, it tracked the price of gold - not
impressive. From 2013 to 2014, it outperformed gold. Since then,
it repeated its 2002-2013 lack of peformance, from 2014 to today
again mostly tracking the performance of gold. Its current 0.52%
dividend is cute. Doesn't understand technology. If Cathie Wood
is Kramer in a dress, Masayoshi Son is Kramer in a happi, which
doesn't make SoftBank investors happy. (Yes, I include SoftBank
here just to write that sarcastic joke).
- SAVE -
Spirit Airlines [0%] (NYSE)
(trend down)
Since 2014, it has lost 93% of its value, grossly underperforming
SPY and GLD. Only hope for the price to go up is if it another
airline takes it over. No dividend. In November 2024, Spirit's
stock plunged 60%
as Spirit Airlines reportedly preps for a bankruptcy filing.
- SHOO -
Steve Madden [1.8%] (Nasdaq)
(trend flat since 2019)
From 1994 to 2004, shoemaker SHOO tracked the SPY. From 2004 to
2014, it outperformed the SPY. But since 2014, SHOO has been
mostly outperformed by SPY and GLD.
Sony has had the year from hell, with high profile flops on every
screen imaginable - the past year at Sony has been what can
only be described as a roller coaster designed to nauseate both
PlayStation fans and investors. It is down 5% in 2024, while indexes
are up nearly 40%.
- SLB -
Schlumberger [2.45%, $0.50/$1.25] (NYSE)
(trend flat)
A long-term lousy stock. In 1997, SLB was around $40. 28 years later,
SLB was around $40, i.e., flat flat flat. In that time period, GLD
and SPY were up over 600%, while SLB was only up 50% at most.
Sell also in Oil/Energy sector to compare to other energy companies.
- SONY -
Sony Group [0.6%] (NYSE)
(trend up)
Since 2004, Sony has been mostly outperformed by SPY and GLD, with
a lousy dividend. Resonable debt levels, and decent margins.
Sony has had the year from hell, with high profile flops on every
screen imaginable - the past year at Sony has been what can
only be described as a roller coaster designed to nauseate both
PlayStation fans and investors. The stock is down 5% so far in 2024,
while broader markets have risen nearly 40%. There has been a flood
of downright disastrous news and announcements, a dredging of the
bottom of the creative barrel for movies and games, and a slew of
high-profile layoffs and retirements.
- TKWY -
Just Eat Takeaway.com [0.0%] (Amsterdam)
(trend down since 2020)
The largest meal delivery firm in Europe, disastrously managed
in recent years, dropping from a high of 104 euros in October 2020,
to 14 euros in Ocotber 2024. Part of the problem was that in 2020,
it acquired US meal delivery firm for $7.3 billion. In November
2024, TWKY
sold GrubHub for $650 million, a loss of $6.6 billion dollars of
shareholder value.
- TSLA -
Tesla [0.0%] (Nasdaq)
(trend down since November 2021)
Since 2021, shares of Tesla have been flat, with no dividend,
underperforming both the SPY and GLD. His endless hyping, less and
less, is able to pump up his stock. In October 2024, Elon Musk had
a big shindig showcasing his robots and robotaxis. Investors are
starting to get so bored with these 'pumping' announcements that
they sent the stock down 9%. Suspicions are that Tesla more and more
is nothing more than just an automobile company that does not deserve
a price that is 100-times forward earnings. Tesla is more and
more being outcompeted by electric vehicle companies in China,
Tesla is losing its socialist subsidies, Musk is angering large
numbers of consumers with his authoritarian political antics. And
the only hope for Tesla to regain its trillion-dollar status is
for Tesla/Musk to profit with their non-paid robotaxis that will
need millions of paid-human taxi drivers to lose their jobs.
- UPS -
United Parcel Service [6.3%] (NYSE)
(trend down since 2021)
UPS has been outperformed by SPY, and mostly outperformed by GLD,
in the last 20 years. Almost down 50% in the last three years
(spiked/peaked in 2021 due to Covid and people buying from home),
wiping out its 5% dividend. There are better growth or dividend
companies to invest in.
- WU -
Western Union [11%] (NYSE)
(trend down since 2019)
Since 2019, Western Union's stock has lost 70% of its value.
While the high dividend is nice, it is not nice enough. For
example, January to October 2025, WU dropped about 20%, so
even with a dividend, you lost money. Reason?
Cryptocurrencies and stablecoins allow you to transfer money
around the world quickly, cheaply and without lots of paperwork.
Why use Western Union with its high fees and idiotic verification
questions for $50 transfers?
- VZ -
Verizon [6.4%] (NYSE)
(trend flat since 2004 with ups/downs)
Verizon has underperformed SPY and GLD for over 20 years. While
it has a nice 6.4% dividend, there are stocks with higher dividends
and/or some growth. From a high of $62 in 2019, by December 2024 it
was down $42 - a 30% loss that wipes out the dividend gain. Find a
better managed dividend company to invest in.
- W -
Wayfair [0.0%] (NYSE)
(trend flat)
Other than a brief bubble when
everyone was stuck at home during Covid (so needed to shop for
home furnishings online), Wayfair's stock has been flat since
2015, with no dividend. Negative net margin, negative earnings
per share, not worth $5 billion.
- WBA -
Walgreens Boots Alliance [9%] (Nasdaq)
(trend down since 2015)
In the last 25 years, both the SPY and GLD are up over 300%,
while Walgreens is down 75%. Discussed in the Dividends section.
- WFC (W) [2.43%] -
Wells Fargo [2.36%] (NYSE)
(trend up)
Since 2000, gold has always beaten Wells
Fargo, except when the Fed's MMT policies pushed interest
rates under 1% or so.
- XYZ (Nasdaq) -
Block [0.0%] (NYSE)
(trend down)
Since its IPO in 2016, Block has had about the same return as GLD,
and the same return as SPY (though not paying SPY's dividend).
Except for the Covid-bubble, Block has underpeformed SPY and GLD
since 2019. For an online payments company, these results are
incompetent. In May 2025,
Shares of Block plummet 20% as its CashApp earnings miss triggers
a downgrade by analysts.
- YPF SA (NYSE) -
Yacimientos Petroliferos Fiscales [0.4%] (NYSE)
(trend flat)
An oil and natural gas company based in Argentina. For most of its
life, it has underperformed SPY and GLD, with a measily dividend.
However, after dropping 93% from $45 in 2010 to $3 in 2022, since
2022, it has outperformed GLD and SPY. Maybe do better if President
Milei can improve the economy.
- ZION (Nasdaq) -
Zion Bancorporation [2.36%] (NYSE)
(trend up)
Since 2000, Zion has pretty much
underperformed both SPY and GLD. Not a well-run bank.
PATENTING COMPANIES WITH STOCK PRICES -- GROSSLY -- UNDERPERFORMING GOLD FOR DECADES
That the company with the largest number of patents (IBM), a company
dedicated to monetizing patents (Acacia Research), a company so troubled
that in 2022 it sold off all of its patents (Blackberry) - appear below
in a table of companies with lots of patents whose stock prices have grossly
underperformed gold for two decades - well, yeah, this does raise questions
about the innovation and patenting competence and management of all of
these companies.
IOOOO, these following companies subscribe to the law of the passage
of quantitative changes into qualitative changes, that quantity begets
quality. At least for patents, it doesn't. The large number of 'innovative'
patents held by the following companies, and their poor return to
shareholders, is one strong reason
Why we need to stop relying on patents to measure innovation, at least
for these companies. Note: dividends are not factored into returns
below. SPY has dividends, and performs similarly to Gold, so dividends
aren't that helpful if your stock price is lousy. Tech companies that peaked
2000 were part of the artificial dot-com bubble, which crashed.
| COMPANY
| STOCK GAIN |
GOLD GAIN |
DATE RANGE |
NUMBER PATENTS |
BOND RATINGS |
| ABB LTD [ABBN.SW, 2%] (chart)
| +28%
| +810%
| 2000-2024
|
|
|
| ACACIA RESEARCH [ACTG, 0%] (chart)
| 0%
| +622%
| 2003-2024
|
|
|
| ATT [T, 4%] (chart)
| -14%
| +810%
| 2000-2024
|
|
|
| BARRICK GOLD [GOLD, 2.2%] (chart)
| +8%
| +810%
| 2000-2024
|
|
|
| BCE (Bell Canada) [BCE, 13%] (chart)
| 0%
| +746%
| 2002-2024
|
|
|
| BLACKBERRY [BB, 0%] (chart)
| 0%
| +868%
| 2001-2024
|
|
|
| BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB [BMY, 5%] (chart)
| 0%
| +810%
| 2000-2024
|
|
|
| CORNING [GLW, 2.5%] (chart)
| 0%
| +810%
| 2000-2024
|
|
|
| ERICSSON [ERIC, 3.3%] (chart)
| 0%
| +541%
| 2004-2024
|
|
|
| EXXON [XOM, %3.7] (chart)
| +170%
| +810%
| 2000-2024
|
|
|
| FORD [F, 5.9%] (chart)
| 0%
| +622%
| 2003-2024
|
| BB+, Ba2, BB, BBB+
|
| FOXCONN [2354.TW, 2.5%] (chart)
| +210%
| +810%
| 2000-2024
|
|
|
| FREQ. ELEC. [FEIM, 0%] (chart)
| +100%
| +622%
| 2003-2024
|
|
|
| FUJITSU [6702.T, 1.0%] (chart)
| -20%
| +810%
| 2000-2024
|
|
|
| GENERAL ELECTRIC (chart) (fn. 4)
| -69%
| +549%
| 2002-2022
|
| BBB, Baa1, BBB+
|
| HITACHI [6501.T, 1.2%] (chart)
| +130%
| +810%
| 2000-2024
|
|
|
| IBM (chart) (fn. 2)
| +81%
| +555%
| 1999-2022
|
| A2, A
|
| JUNIPER NETWORKS (chart)
| -65%
| +629%
| 2001-2022
|
| A2, A
|
| LATTICE SEMICONDUCTOR (chart)
| +90%
| +643%
| 2001-2022
|
| A2, A
|
| MICRON (chart)
| +64%
| +602%
| 2001-2022
|
|
|
| NOKIA (chart) (fn. 3)
| -89%
| +608%
| 2001-2022
|
|
|
| PANASONIC (chart)
| -58%
| +602%
| 2001-2022
|
|
|
| PFIZER (chart)
| +22%
| +626%
| 2001-2022
|
| A+, A2, A+
|
| K. PHILIPS (chart)
| -12%
| +608%
| 2001-2022
|
|
|
| RENESAS ELECTRONICS (chart)
| -82%
| +375%
| 2004-2022
|
|
|
| ROHM (chart)
| -52%
| +608%
| 2001-2022
|
|
|
| SANOFI (chart)
| +108%
| +436%
| 2003-2022
|
|
|
| SONY (chart)
| +14%
| +602%
| 2001-2022
|
| BBB+, Baa1, A-
|
| TOSHIBA (chart) (fn. 1)
| +8%
| +591%
| 2002-2022
|
|
|
| WELLS FARGO (chart)
| +71%
| +609%
| 2002-2022
|
| A+, A2, BBB+
|
| VERIZON (chart)
| +10%
| +608%
| 2002-2022
|
| A-, Baa1, BB+
|
Note: most of the above companies not only have been unable to beat gold
as an investment, but they didn't even beat boring, conservative bonds
as an investment. Since 2003, the
Ishares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
is up 53%, pretty much outperforming all of the above. More evidence of a
lack of innovation as reflected in too many low quality patents for these
companies?
And these companies are not alone in being minimally innovative. Goldman Sachs
maintains an index, the GS Non-Profitable Technology Index, comprised of
non-profitable US companies in 'innovative' industries. In recent years,
the index has exploded higher - confirming more non-innovation:
PATENTING COMPANIES WITH STOCK PRICES UNDERPERFORMING GOLD FOR DECADES
| COMPANY
| STOCK GAIN |
GOLD GAIN |
DATE RANGE |
NUMBER PATENTS |
BOND RATINGS |
| ADP (chart)
| +582%
| +321%
| 2001-2022
|
|
|
| AIR PRODUCTS (chart)
| +582%
| +520%
| 2001-2022
|
|
|
| AMD (chart)
| +656%
| +609%
| 2001-2022
|
|
|
| AMGEN (chart)
| +258%
| +626%
| 2001-2022
|
|
|
| AKAMAI TECH (chart)
| +464%
| +608%
| 2001-2022
|
|
|
| ANALOG DEVICES (chart)
| +218%
| +608%
| 2001-2022
|
|
|
| APPLIED MATERIALS (chart)
| +574%
| +609%
| 2001-2022
|
|
|
| ARROW ELECTRONICS (chart)
| +262%
| +566%
| 2001-2022
|
|
|
| BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY (chart)
| +657%
| +492%
| 2001-2022
|
|
|
| BOEING (chart)
| +242%
| +611%
| 2002-2022
|
|
|
| BOSTON SCIENTIFIC (chart)
| +549%
| +624%
| 2001-2022
|
|
|
| CADENCE (chart)
| +490%
| +639%
| 2002-2022
|
| Aa2, AA
|
| CHEVRON (chart)
| +293%
| +607%
| 2002-2022
|
| Aa2, AA
|
| CISCO (chart)
| +204%
| +611%
| 2002-2022
|
| A1, AA-, A+
|
| COCA-COLA (chart)
| +117%
| +626%
| 2002-2022
|
| A, A1, A+
|
| DIAGEO (chart)
| +372%
| +625%
| 2001-2022
|
|
|
| DISNEY (chart)
| +356%
| +607%
| 2001-2022
|
| A-, A2, BBB+
|
| ELECTRONIC ARTS (chart)
| +355%
| +648%
| 2001-2022
|
|
|
| FEDEX (chart)
| +353%
| +643%
| 2001-2022
|
|
|
| GENERAL DYNAMICS (chart)
| +517%
| +607%
| 2001-2022
|
|
|
| GLAXOSMITHKLINE (chart)
| -19%
| +607%
| 2002-2022
|
| A-, A2, A
|
| HERSHEY (chart)
| +597%
| +583%
| 2001-2022
|
|
|
| HONEYWELL (chart)
| +332%
| +601%
| 2001-2022
|
|
|
| HP (chart)
| +148%
| +608%
| 2001-2022
|
|
|
| INTEL (chart)
| +115%
| +556%
| 2002-2022
|
| A+, A1, A+
|
| JOHNSON JOHNSON (chart)
| +278%
| +625%
| 2001-2022
|
| Aaa, AAA
|
| MAGNA INTERNATIONAL (chart)
| +523%
| +629%
| 2001-2022
|
|
|
| MEDTRONIC (chart)
| +106%
| +626%
| 2001-2022
|
|
|
| 3M (chart)
| +145%
| +608%
| 2001-2022
|
|
|
| MONDELEZ (chart)
| +227%
| +587%
| 06/2001-2022
|
|
|
| MOTOROLA (chart)
| +215%
| +607%
| 2001-2022
|
|
|
| NINTENDO (chart)
| +186%
| +592%
| 2001-2022
|
|
|
| ORACLE (chart)
| +183%
| +608%
| 2001-2022
|
| A-, A3, A
|
| PEPSICO (chart)
| +247%
| +624%
| 2001-2022
|
| A-, A3, A
|
| PHILADELPHIA SEMICON INDEX (chart)
| +366%
| +618%
| 2002-2022
|
|
|
| QUALCOMM (chart)
| +225%
| +643%
| 2001-2022
|
| A-, A3, A
|
| RAYTHEON (chart)
| +395%
| +602%
| 2001-2022
|
| Baa1, A-
|
| RUSSELL2000 (chart)
| +247%
| +600%
| 2001-2022
|
|
|
| SAP SE (chart)
| +227%
| +608%
| 2001-2022
|
|
|
| THOMSON REUTERS (chart)
| +226%
| +406%
| 2003-2022
|
|
|
| TI (chart)
| +283%
| +602%
| 2001-2022
|
|
|
| TOKYO ELECTRON (chart)
| +651%
| +608%
| 2002-2022
|
|
|
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