USA Treasury Bond yields declined on Tuesday, with the 10-year Treasury yield falling further from the 4% threshold, as investors grew optimistic on a resolution on the ongoing USA government shutdown.
- Comcast's CNBC, 21 October 2025
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank is nearing a point where it will stop reducing the size of its bond holdings, but gave no long-run indication of where interest rates are heading.
- Comcast's CNBC, 14 October 2025
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank is nearing a point where it will stop reducing the size of its bond holdings, but gave no long-run indication of where interest rates are heading.
- Ochs-Sulzberger's New York Times, 14 October 2025
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank is nearing a point where it will stop reducing the size of its bond holdings, but gave no long-run indication of where interest rates are heading.
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 14 October 2025
Central banks now hold more gold in their reserves than US Treasury Bonds
- Zero Hedge, 10 October 2025
While gold 'screams' debasement of the USA dollar because of inflation, the bond market's best guess at long-term inflation is basically unchanged.
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 09 October 2025
The rally in gold prices points to eroding faith in central banks worldwide. In Nihon, as in the USA, a new leader wants the central bank to make government debt more bearable, which could feed inflation.
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 09 October 2025
Gold loves increasing yields offered by the government bonds of Nihon
- Zero Hedge (locked), 06 October 2025
Why corporate bonds are much in demand. The yield premium offered by investment-grade bonds has shrunk to an almost three-decade low.
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 06 October 2025
"Not one market moved notably on the USA government shut down news... except for one" - bitcoin. The USA dollar index barely budged on the shutdown news. The Swiss franc strengthened slightly, and the yen as well. Treasury Bond prices moved imperceptibly higher.
- Zero Hedge (locked), 05 October 2025
Morgan Stanley's 3 lessons from the shocking collapse of First Brands. The question is whether First Brands' bankruptcy is an isolated, idiosyncratic event - driven by company-specific operational or capital structure issues - or an early warning of fragility lurking beneath the surface of the financial markets.
- Zero Hedge (locked), 05 October 2025
Foreign buyers are backing USA Treasury Bonds. This dependency comes with strings attached. With hedge funds and other investors becoming more dominant, this haven might not be quite as safe as it used to be.
- Barron's, 04 October 2025
Publicly-traded corporate bonds are booming. Why is private credit flashing distress? The markets for bank loans, private credit, and credit derivatives have shown symptoms of distress.
- Barron's, 04 October 2025
Morgan Stanley explains why shape of the yield curve is more important than timing of interest rate reductions by the Fed
- Zero Hedge, 28 September 2025
Gold and silver prices soar, and stock and bond prices pushed down, and cryptocurrencies crash
- Zero Hedge (locked), 25 September 2025
An atrocious, tailing auction for 7-year Treasury Bonds, as foreign demand plummets
- Zero Hedge, 25 September 2025
Money is flowing into USA financial stocks. Financials is the USA equity sector seeing the most inflows, with anticipated deregulation and expectations of steeper yield curve likely drivers.
- Zero Hedge, 24 September 2025
After Argentina recently entered a "panic mode" (according to its president), the stock market and Argentine peso soared in value, after the USA offered financial support that includes direct currency purchases as well as swap lines and purchases of dollar-denominated government debt
- Zero Hedge, 22 September 2025
After Argentina recently entered a "panic mode" (according to its president), the stock market and Argentine peso soared in value, after the USA offered financial support that includes direct currency purchases as well as swap lines and purchases of dollar-denominated government debt
- Ochs-Sulzberger's New York Times, 22 September 2025
Government bond yields rise, and the pound drops, after the government of the United Kingdom reported that government borrowing in August was higher than expected to cover the budget deficit
- Zero Hedge, 19 September 2025
10-year Treasury Bond yields hits 2-week high despite a Fed rate reduction of 0.25% this week
- Comcast's CNBC, 19 September 2025
Gold prices soar to a new record high ahead of the Fed meeting, with bonds and stock prices also pushed up
- Zero Hedge (locked), 15 September 2025
After Fitch downgrades the credit rating of France from AA- to A+, the cost of borrowing for France when selling government bonds rises
- Comcast's CNBC, 15 September 2025
After Fitch downgrades the credit rating of France from AA- to A+, the cost of borrowing for France when selling government bonds rises
- Ochs-Sulzberger's New York Times, 15 September 2025
159,500,000 -
ANZ Group on Monday agreed to pay A$240 million ($159.5 million), the Australian corporate regulator's largest-ever penalties against a single entity, following systemic failures ranging from acting "unconscionably" in a government bond deal to charging deceased customers
- Thomson's Reuters, 14 September 2025
Emerging market debt is looking better as the bond market changes. Some managers see bond opportunities in Turkey, Guatemala, Paraguay, México and Malaysia.
- Barron's, 13 September 2025
A collapse in the value of municipal bond fund (down 50% in 2 days) exposes the danger of investing in junk municipal bonds
- Bloomberg, 12 September 2025
10-year Treasury Bond yield falls to 4% as traders assess inflation data
- Comcast's CNBC, 11 September 2025
The European Central Bank does not change interest rates, as the fallout lingers from Trump's tax/tariff trade war
- Comcast's CNBC, 11 September 2025
The European Central Bank does not change interest rates, as the fallout lingers from Trump's tax/tariff trade war
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 11 September 2025
The outperformance of global corporate bonds compared to national bonds indicates growing problems with national debts around the world
- Zero Hedge, 10 September 2025
From dollars to dinars: bond vigilantes see a "local pivot" to emerging market debt. The evolution of EMs moving away from being largely dependent on the dollar to being able to better utilise local currency markets highlights a pivotal shift.
- Zero Hedge, 10 September 2025
Alibaba to raise $3.2 billion via convertible bond to fund cloud growth
- Thomson's Reuters, 10 September 2025
The prospect of falling interest rates has boosted the demand investors have for corporate debt, with companies including Merck joining in a wave of borrowing through bond sales
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 08 September 2025
From mortgages to stocks, how higher bond yields for long-term Treasury Bonds hit wider markets
- Comcast's CNBC, 06 September 2025
Stablecoins are entering a new phase, shifting from simple payment rails to yield-bearing, user-centric financial instruments, a threat to banks
- Benzinga, 05 September 2025
10-year Treasury Bond yields decline to lowest level since April after weaker-than-expected jobs report
- Warner Brothers CNN, 05 September 2025
A steepening of bond yield curves around the world betrays investor uneasiness with massive government borrowing
- Zero Hedge (locked), 03 September 2025
Heavily indebted governments are increasingly vulnerable to bond vigilantes
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 03 September 2025
30-year Treasury yield tops 5% briefly as traders deal with uncertainty about Trump's tax/tariff policies, and threats to the independence of the Fed
- Comcast's CNBC, 03 September 2025
Is Trump's Treasury Department's socialist industrial policy kindling a wildfire in global bond markets? The USA Treasury's strategy of repressing bond volatility is creating the potential for an abrupt move higher in the measure, taking yields and the curve with it.
- Zero Hedge, 02 September 2025
The yield on long-dated UK bonds rose to the highest since 1998, as investors' confidence in the Starmer government is crushed amid concerns over the fiscal outlook
- Zero Hedge, 02 September 2025
The yield on long-dated UK bonds rose to the highest since 1998, as investors' confidence in the Starmer government is crushed amid concerns over the fiscal outlook
- Bloomberg, 02 September 2025
Junk bonds are very popular this summer. Investors are piling back into funds that buy junk-rated corporate bonds and loans, despite elevated default rates.
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 11 July 2025
Treasury Bond yields rise on the possibility of the USA having to refund Trump's taxes/tariff monies collected, with the 30-year Bond yield rising above 4.98%
- Comcast's CNBC, 11 July 2025
Trump's attempts to seize control of the Federal Reserve risk ruining a pillar of the global economy. Economists warn it could lead to higher inflation and government borrowing costs.
- Ochs-Sulzberger's New York Times, 27 August 2025
Financial markets have not yet grappled with the implications of Trump seizing control of the Federal Reserve
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 27 August 2025
Editorial: Trump wants to seize control of the Federal Reserve. He may succeed, but the country will live to regret it.
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 27 August 2025
The authoritarian Trump's attempts to seize control of the Fed is pushing up the interest rates that matter most to consumers
- Comcast's CNBC, 27 August 2025
Fears of a collapse of the government of France send its borrowing costs soaring. France, a cornerstone economy in Europe, is rapidly becoming one of its weakest links as a political and debt crisis loom.
- Ochs-Sulzberger's New York Times, 27 August 2025
Editorial: France heads for a fiscal crackup. Politicians prefer serial political crises over any economic reform.
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 27 August 2025
Investors including Nuveen and BlackRock that hold Puerto Rico's $8.3 billion in defaulted power revenue bonds terminated a previous restructuring agreement and pledged to cooperate with other creditors on any new deal. Bondholders are uniting to seek more favorable terms after Trump authorized his administration to recently fire most members of the oversight board managing the finances of Puerto Rico.
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 27 August 2025
Government bonds and stock prices in France decline, as the government risks a new collapse in weeks
- Zero Hedge (locked), 26 August 2025
She says he has no authority, as Trump fires Fed governor Lisa Cook, a Black American woman, the first instance of a president firing a central bank governor in the 111-year history of the Fed. Cook has not been charged with any wrongdoing. It is unclear whether the authoritarian Trump has the legal authority to fire Cook over allegations of fraud.
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 26 August 2025
Why famed strategist Albert Edwards is warning that the government Treasury Bond market could cause a market crash, as 10-year Treasury Bond yields rise to, and could be greater than, SP500 dividend yields
- Business Insider, 23 August 2025
A suggestion of an increase in interest rates in September pushes up the price of gold and bonds (and thus yields down), pushes down the USA dollar, while sending up stock indexes by about 2%
- Zero Hedge, 22 August 2025
Hartnett: raise allocations to gold and crypto because bond yield curve control is coming
- Zero Hedge, 18 August 2025
The Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index jumped 0.9% to close at 3,728 on Monday, its strongest finish since August 2015
- Bloomberg, 18 August 2025
Researchers from the Bank of Zhōngguó, and from others in Zhōngguó, are proposing that Zhōngguó gradually educe its exposure to US dollar assets as the national debt of the USA continues to increase, reigniting persistent worries over the long-term sustainability of an investment formerly considered rock solid. "Although US Treasuries have not yet reached the default threshold, their expansion is unsustainable."
- Alibaba's South China Morning Post, 16 August 2025
Bitcoin and gold dumped as a hot PPI prompts plunge in bonds
- Zero Hedge, 15 August 2025
Municipal bonds may not remain this cheap for long. A steady increase in municipal-bond supply, coupled with the survival of their tax benefit in Trump's spending bill, is making the securities more attractive.
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 12 August 2025
Forget about bond ratings. A bigger risk is that investors need to pay attention to the length of time to maturity.
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 11 August 2025
Treasury Bond yields spike after a very ugly, tailing auction of 30-year Treasury Bonds, increasing fears of a recession
- Zero Hedge, 07 August 2025
$300,000,000 -
UBS Group agreed to pay $300 million to settle outstanding obligations that Credit Suisse had committed to in a deal with the Justice Department over bonds backed by mortgages sold before the 2008 financial crisis
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 05 August 2025
Treasury Bond yields decline as much as 0.2%, after a horrible jobs report
- Comcast's CNBC, 01 August 2025
Weaker than expected job gains combined with rising unemployment rates and massively negative revisions have sent rate-cut odds soaring with September now priced around 75%
- Zero Hedge, 01 August 2025
Trump's Treasury Department to fund the government's huge deficits, will rely on sales of more expensive short-term Treasury Bonds which rely on stablecoin purchases of Treasury Bonds to keep bond yields lower.
- Zero Hedge, 30 July 2025
The Treasury Department's quarterly refunding (via bond sales) is becoming as/more important than the Federal Reserves interest rate setting
- Zero Hedge, 30 July 2025
Short-term USA Treasury Bond yields jump 0.06% to 0.08% during big outflows from stablecoin funds, and fall when there are large purchases of stablecoins by these funds
- TheStreet, 28 July 2025
Pop goes the massive deficit problem of the USA: the warning signs are all there that the levels of debt are unmanageable and destructive
- The Hill, 28 July 2025
The Treasury Department increase its Treasury Bond sales from $554 billion to $1 trillion in Q3 of 2025 to replenish the cash balances of the federal government
- Zero Hedge, 28 July 2025
An auction of USA 5-year Treasury Bonds sees lowest foreign demand in 5 years. A sharp shift in sentiment, from a solid 2Y auction this morning to a very ugly 5Y this afternoon.
- Zero Hedge, 28 July 2025
The European disease: Deutschland enters the 'debt spiral', as it national budget deficits increase
- Zero Hedge, 28 July 2025
Investors see few alternatives to USA Treasury Bonds. Could Europe issue one? As Trump's chaotic economic policies provoke questions about the stability of the USA, a proposal for countries in Europe to issue joint debt has drawn attention.
- Ochs-Sulzberger's New York Times, 28 July 2025
The more Trump pressures the Fed, the less likely he obtains lower interest rates. If the president thinks the Fed is hard to deal with, wait until he tries to negotiate with the bond market.
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 28 July 2025
It is hard to determine the value of junk (high-risk) bonds. Many such bond prices are "written in pencil, not pen".
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 21 July 2025
Hartnett: the best way to tell if we are in another stock bubble: "When stocks are rising and ignoring a rise in inflation expectations & bond yields to new highs."
- Zero Hedge (locked), 20 July 2025
Moody's Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi sounds a "red alarm" on the housing market and says that homebuilders are "giving up", and will continue to do so (along with declining home prices) until mortgage rates are reduced
- Jiaravanon's Fortune, 20 July 2025
Zhōngguó reduces its holdings of USA Treasury Bonds to the lowest level since 2009
- Comcast's CNBC, 18 July 2025
The market cap of Tether's USDt, the world's largest stablecoin, has surpassed $160 billion for the first time
- CoinTelegraph, 17 July 2025
XRP is about to hit $200B market cap for first time; price nears record
- CoinTelegraph, 17 July 2025
Trump wants lower interest rates, so threatens the Fed. But firing popular Fed Chair Powell could push interest rates higher. Investors might want higher yields on long-term Treasury bonds if Trump undermines the independence of the Fed.
- Ochs-Sulzberger's New York Times, 17 July 2025
The authoritarian Trump causes much volatility in the markets, after his latest unconstitutional threat to fire Fed Chair Powell
- Zero Hedge, 16 July 2025
Government bond yields in Nihon surge, signaling increased fiscal fears as election looms. The 20-year yield on Japanese government bonds hit their highest level since November 1999.
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 16 July 2025
Issuance of junk bonds in the European Union rose to a record high in June of $27 billion
- Barron's, 12 July 2025
In an ominous sign, sellers are vanishing as stocks in the USA rise to record highs. This could cause a short-term moderate setback.
- Bloomberg, 11 July 2025
The ICE BofA MOVE Index, a volatility measure for USA Treasury Bonds, falls to a 3+ year low
- Bloomberg, 11 July 2025
The USA needs a weaker dollar to boost exports without undermining global appetite for USA Treasury Bonds. Stablecoins make that balancing act possible. The criminalization of the USA national debt.
- Zero Hedge, 10 July 2025
USA Treasury Bonds, being overbought, have a bigger problem than Trump's taxes/tariffs. The only plausible salvation for bonds is a recession.
- Zero Hedge, 10 July 2025
BNY Mellon will have custody of Ripple's new stablecoin as big banks and financial institutions become more involved with cryptocurrencies
- Comcast's CNBC, 09 July 2025
Will high rice prices in Nihon cause huge problems for the government, adding to inflation and a strong yen, could hurt government bonds of Nihon
- Zero Hedge, 08 July 2025
Long-dated government bond yields around the world are rising sharply
- Zero Hedge (locked), 08 July 2025
Why Nicolai Tangen, the CEO of Norway's sovereign fund (the world's largest at $2.8 trillion), is worried about the rising national debt of the USA
- Apollo Global's Yahoo Finance, 07 July 2025
France is trapped in a debt spiral. The president of the French Court of Auditors argues that the increasing national debt is "out of control", and if the government doesn't do something, the bond markets will.
- Zero Hedge, 06 July 2025
The Republican's new tax/spending law, to make the rich richer, the poor poorer, and the environment worse, while increasing the national debt by trillions, is a dangerous mixture of question supply-side economic promises and Trump's campaign lies to the non-rich
- Ochs-Sulzberger's New York Times, 04 July 2025
Financial companies on Wall Street worry as trillions of new national debt on top of tens of trillions of existing debt become the default financial mode of the government. Trump's new tax/spending law will greatly worsen the national debt - with no national emergency (a war, Covid pandemic) requiring reckless spending.
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 04 July 2025
10 charts that show how bad Trump's new tax/spending law is for the non-rich and the environment
- Ochs-Sulzberger's New York Times, 04 July 2025
Republicans in the House join those in the Senate and pass Trump's tax/spending law which will increase the national debt by trillions to make the rich richer while helping Zhōngguó totally control the renewable energy industry
- Comcast's CNBC, 04 July 2025
The top five changes for the wealthy (to become richer) in Trump's new "big beautiful bill". These moneychangers will be happy.
- Comcast's CNBC, 04 July 2025
Trump's new tax/spending law give the very rich, the economically top 1% of people in the USA, the biggest tax cuts in mostly Republican states
- Comcast's CNBC, 04 July 2025
Problems in the recent favorable jobs report, including wage growth slowing, unemployment rising for Black Americans, employees working fewer hours and manufacturing employment down a bit
- Warner Brothers CNN, 03 July 2025
Odds of the Fed reducing interest rates in July decline, after a strong jobs report for June, and Republicans passing a new law that will increase the national debt by trillions
- Apollo Global's Yahoo Finance, 03 July 2025
One way Trump intends to seize control of the independent Federal Reserve. The Treasury Department will fund more of the national debt with sales of short-term Treasury Bonds, pushing up yields for long-term Treasury Bonds and further weakening the USA dollar.
- Zero Hedge (locked), 03 July 2025
After the UK Finance Minister, Rachel Reeves, is seen crying in Parliament (for some reason), UK bond yields rise and the British pound loses value compared to the USA dollar and euro
- Comcast's CNBC, 03 July 2025
UK bond yields rise and the British pound loses value compared to the USA dollar and euro, after the UK government announces that will not implement a plan to reduce welfare spending
- Comcast's CNBC, 03 July 2025
With developing nations crushed by unaffordable borrowing ($8.7 trillion worth of debt), and the USA abandoning much of its foreign aid, leaders of some developing countries are arranging deals for debt forgiveness.
- Ochs-Sulzberger's New York Times, 01 July 2025
One expert argues that world is approaching a 1929-like global depression, so it is a good time to buy gold, especially as central banks are buying more gold and fewer long-term USA Treasury Bonds
- Birch Gold, 30 June 2025
The Fed's recent change to the Supplementary Leverage Ratio could allow banks to hold trillions more in Treasury Bonds, which if they buy could push bond yields down
- Zero Hedge, 30 June 2025
It is not too late to buy gold, as central banks continue to buy gold, and currencies continue to weeken against gold prices
- Von Greyerz Gold, 30 June 2025
EchoStar is making more than $500 million in debt-interest payments that the network operator had delayed amid a regulatory review in the USA of its use of cellular and satellite spectrum licenses, but it also is holding off on another $114 million that is coming due
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 28 June 2025
Commodity trading advisors (CTAs) are buying bonds, stocks, and gold, while selling USA dollars
- Zero Hedge, 27 June 2025
Tepid inflation, mixed economic data and signs that the Trump administration will limit longer-term debt sales are fueling optimism that this bond-market rally has legs, and that bond prices will continue to rise.
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 26 June 2025
Over 200 central banks have reportedly sold $48 billion in USA Treasury Bonds, amid concerns about the stability of the USA dollar under Trump's erratic economic policies
- Benzinga, 20 June 2025
Stablecoin legislation will increase demand for Treasury Bonds - to a point. Issuers of digital currencies need Treasury bills for their reserves, but analysts say the consequences are uncertain.
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 20 June 2025
Zhōngguó further reduced in April its holdings of USA Treasury Bonds to a 16-year-low, amidst Trump's tax/tariff trade war. Its holdings are the third largest, after those of Nihon and the United Kingdom.
- Alibaba's South China Morning Post, 19 June 2025
Gold prices have surged 30% so far in 2025, outpacing the yen, Swiss franc, and USA Treasurys Bonds. At the heart of the appeal of gold is its freedom from government liabilities.
- Comcast's CNBC, 17 June 2025
Investors shun long-term USA Treasury Bonds as hopes fade for aggressive Fed interest rate reductions
- Thomson's Reuters, 16 June 2025
How the Federal Reserve fuels fiscal profligacy. The central bank is the largest holder of debt of the USA (its Treasury Bond holdings), giving it undue influence on the federal budget.
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 16 June 2025
Municipal bonds are still inexpensive. Here are some good muni bonds to buy.
- Barron's, 14 June 2025
Joe Davis, the global chief economist at Vanguard, predicts that bond yields could rise to 9% if the hyped-benefits of the AI [bubble] do not outweigh the costs of the deficit in coming years
- Barron's, 14 June 2025
After a moderate CPI report on inflation is issued, odds that the Fed will have two interest rates reductions of 0.25%, stocks rise, bond yields fall, USA dollar declines, gold increases
- Zero Hedge, 11 June 2025
Treasury Bonds face several risks, not least from stubborn inflation. Longer-term yields will be unable to go down significantly, absent a recession, while inflation remains stubborn and ongoing fiscal risks deter Treasury Bond buyers.
- Zero Hedge, 11 June 2025
Momentum-trading meltdown quietly accelerates as bonds, bitcoin and gold prices don't change much
- Zero Hedge, 10 June 2025
Tough trade talks could lead Zhōngguó to threaten de-dollarization or sell USA Treasury Bonds (it owns about $1 trillion) to gain concessions from Washington.
- Zero Hedge, 08 June 2025
Investors seeking higher bond yields cause a $331 billion wave of emerging bond sales
- Bloomberg, 08 June 2025
Despite calling Shanghai and Hong Kong the 'twin engines' of finance for Zhōngguó, the actions of the government of Zhōngguó favor Hong Kong as the one true global funding hub for Zhōngguó.
- Alibaba's South China Morning Post, 07 June 2025
Bond ETFs to buy in a world of Trump-induced volatility
- Barron's, 07 June 2025
The government bond rally in Bharat may deepen as interest rate reductions loom
- Bloomberg, 05 June 2025
You can run from fiscal deficits, but you can't hide from the bond markets. The rise in longer-term US and developed-market bond yields risks becoming entrenched as fiscal largesse becomes a feature of economies, rather than a temporary bug.
- Zero Hedge, 05 June 2025
Treasury Bond yields and the USA dollar decline, as 'bad' jobs data sparks a surge in hopes that the Fed will reduce interest rates
- Zero Hedge, 04 June 2025
Treasury Bond yields and the USA dollar decline, as 'bad' jobs data sparks a surge in hopes that the Fed will reduce interest rates
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 04 June 2025
Treasury Bond yields and the USA dollar decline, as 'bad' jobs data sparks a surge in hopes that the Fed will reduce interest rates
- Bloomberg, 04 June 2025
There are good reasons for the Treasury Bond yield curve to stay steep. The relentless steepening of the US yield curve is unlikely to reverse any time soon.
- Zero Hedge, 04 June 2025
Global investors have a new reason to reduce their purchases of USA Treasury Bonds. After hedging currency risk, foreign investors no longer make money buying America bonds that support America's great level of debt.
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 04 June 2025
A squabble over socialist control of the USA economy: since the Fed won't buy USA Treasury Bonds, the Treasury Department intervenes in the markets and buys $10 billion of short-term Treasury Bonds, the largest Treasury buyback in history
- Zero Hedge, 03 June 2025
Economist question the Republican's proposed tax law: why increase the national debt in good economic times? Huge deficits are already making bond investors nervous. Economists warn that could make it harder to respond to future crises.
- Ochs-Sulzberger's New York Times, 03 June 2025
Wall Street is sounding the alarm on the ever-increasing national debt of the USA. This time, it is worth listening to their warnings.
- Ochs-Sulzberger's New York Times, 03 June 2025
Pension funds will not save the bond market. Higher yields on long-term bonds have helped many pensions derisk. Now pension funds' demand for bonds might be waning. Many pensions might be thinking not only of shifting out of riskier equities, but also out of the longest-term bonds and into more intermediate-dated ones as their pool of beneficiaries ages.
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 02 June 2025
Why a "decade of reckoning" is coming to the USA bond market and the management of the national debt of the USA. With all three credit rating agencies saying that there is a bit of risk with Treasury Bonds, this makes the fiscal outlook for the USA that much worse.
- Apollo Global's Yahoo Finance, 02 June 2025
Expecting bond yields to rise (and prices to decline) as Republicans worsen the national debt of the USA, investors are joining Warren Buffett and placing big short orders for Treasury Bonds
- Comcast's CNBC, 02 June 2025
To make it easier to increase the national debt by trillions, the Trump administration wants to make it easier for banks to own Treasury Bonds. After the 2008 financial crisis involving banks, the government added restrictions to banks' holding of Treasury Bonds.
- Apollo Global's Yahoo Finance, 01 June 2025
We are witnessing the bond market's power to intimidate. Gaping government budget deficits, on-again-off-again tariff wars and now, soaring bond yields. No wonder the markets are jumpy.
- Ochs-Sulzberger's New York Times, 30 May 2025
Could Taiwan derail Trump's 'big beautiful' plan for the housing market in the USA? The life insurance industry in Taiwan is a major buyer of USA Treasury Bonds.
- Zero Hedge, 29 May 2025
The national debt of Nihon, now twice the size of the economy of Nihon at $9 trillion, forces hard choices. The government faces pressure to curtail debt-fueled spending that some argue has staved off populist waves. As the Bank of Nihon moves away from the negative interest rates that for years made it easy for the government to borrow, the limits on spending are more stark.
- Ochs-Sulzberger's New York Times, 29 May 2025
Government bonds in Nihon attract weak demand as rise in superlong yields sparks concern. An auction of 40-year government bonds in Nihon attracted the weakest demand in nearly a year, signaling investor caution amid a global rise in yields of ultralong bonds.
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 29 May 2025
Moments ago the Treasury Department sold $70 billion in 5-year Treasury Bonds, which saw the highest foreign demand in history!
- Zero Hedge, 28 May 2025
Rising bond yields, due to Republicans wanting to greatly increast the national debt (which will need more Treasury Bonds sold) is forcing up interest rates that cities and towns have to offer to sell their municipal bonds, resulting in less money for public services and families who are not the rich beneficiaries of Trump's proposed tax law.
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 28 May 2025
Stocks jump in price in Nihon as the government panics about rising government bond yields
- Zero Hedge, 27 May 2025
Yields on super-long government bonds in Nihon fall sharply after Reuters reported that the finance ministry of Nihon might issue fewer of these bonds.
- Thomson's Reuters, 26 May 2025
Republican's big for-the-rich proposed tax law scared bond markets. That is bad economic news if you are not rich. Investors are worried that Trump and the GOP are acting in ways that will both lower growth and raise interest rates, a toxic combination.
- Comcast's MSNBC, 26 May 2025
Four of the biggest life insurers in Nihon (Meiji Yasuda Life
An "unsustainable fiscal situation": financial investors prepare for more turmoil in the Treasury Bond market as Trump's proposed tax law worsens concerns about a worsening national deficit
There is a "buyer's strike" on USA financial assets as foreigner investors cannot tolerate high USA national deficits anymore, at the same time that the USA dollar is weakening. Trump's desire for a new tax law that greatly increases the debt of the USA is making things worse.
The yields on 30-year USA Treasury Bonds now are greater than the SP500 earnings-per-share for the 1st time in 23 years
The international bond market to overspending politicians in Washington: we will make you pay! The global savings glut is over and governments have to pay more to borrow; the situation for the USA is especially risky with its high debt as bond yields rise (making it more expensive to borrow).
Bad news for stocks is the rise in long-term interest rates (on Treasury Bonds, due to Trump's proposed tax law that worsens the national debt)
The bond market is worrying about the increased national debt of the USA due to Trump's proposed tax law
If yields of government bonds in Nihon continue to rise, investors in Nihon will sell their USA Treasury Bonds and USA stocks, and invest buy their own country's bonds
Liquidity in the market for government bonds in Nihon is deteriorating as heightened inflation expectations become entrenched
Investors have been rattled by rising yields for USA Treasury Bonds. They should be more worried about rising government bond yields in Nihon.
The USA dollar is expected to end a 4-week increase, due to worries about the increasingly large national debt of the USA
The USA Congress to financial markets: "Shut Up! We do not care about increasing the already high USA debt". [Making rich people richer is more important.]
A shocking admission from Goldman Sachs: the only way to survive the bond-stock reflexive selling loop is to buy gold and cryptocurrencies and non-USA stocks
An upset financial market continues to push up the yield of Treasury Bonds for a second day, with the 10-year rising to 4.61% and the 30-year rising to 5.14% (highest since Oct 2023), after the House approves a new tax law that greatly increases the USA national debt
An upset financial market continues to push up the yield of Treasury Bonds for a second day, with the 10-year rising to 4.61% and the 30-year rising to 5.14% (highest since Oct 2023), after the House approves a new tax law that greatly increases the USA national debt
The bond market is waking up to the fiscal mess in Washington of increasing national debt
An upset financial market continues to push up the yield of Treasury Bonds for a second day, with the 10-year rising to 4.61% and the 30-year rising to 5.14% (highest since Oct 2023), after the House approves a new tax law that greatly increases the USA national debt
The national debt of the USA is on pace to set a record high that dates back 335 years to 1790
To increase demand for Treasury Bonds (to offset decreased demand due to the USA increasingly huge debt), Republicans want to regulate/approve stablecoins, which use Treasury Bonds as collateral.
The Dow dropped 1.9% (and the SP500 down 1.6%) as the House of Representatives was close to approving a new tax law that greatly increases the national debt of the USA
Treasury Bond yields soar, with Big Tech stocks and oil declining in price, and gold and bitcoin rising in price
Treasury Bond yields soar, and stock prices plunge, after an ugly 20-year Treasury Bond auction sees the biggest tail of 2025. The Dow drops 1.8% for the day, the SP500 down 1.5%
Futures slide as 30-year Treasury Bond yields rise above 5%, oil jumps on Iran war fears
The government bond market in Nihon is on the verge of collapse after worst bond auction since 1987
The uncertain fiscal situation of the USA threatens the good mood on Wall Street. A weekslong climb in longer-term yields has been fueled by persistent worries about inflation and concerns that wider deficits will necessitate larger auctions of Treasury Bonds, lowering prices and pushing up yields which makes them more attractive than stocks.
Mortgage rates cross back over 7% after Moody's downgrades the USA credit rating
The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) pulled in $636.9 million Friday, increasing its total assets under management to $48.7 billion amid easing USA-Zhōngguó tensions.
Ray Dalio says the risk to USA Treasury Bonds is even greater than what is implied by Moody's downgrading the credit rating of the USA. The downgrade does not take into account the risk of the federal government printing money to pay its debt.
30-year Treasury Bond yields rise above 5% after Moody's downgrades the credit rating of the USA from the highest, Aaa, down one level to Aa1.
30-year Treasury Bond yields rise above 5% after Moody's downgrades the credit rating of the USA from the highest, Aaa, down one level to Aa1.
Year-to-day, January to May of 2025, USA Treasury Bonds and the SP500 have offered similar returns, thanks to Trump's tax/tariff trade wars
Former Labor Secretary Robert Reich said that when global investors, including Americans, started selling USA Treasury Bonds and moving away from using the USA dollar, after Trump's taxes/tariffs were announced, the standing in the world of the USA may have declined.
Zhōngguó sells some of its USA Treasury Bonds, dropping to the thrid largest holder of the bonds after Nihon and Britain, as Zhōngguó seeks to diversify its foreign exchange reserves
USA Treasury Bonds face another price shock from inflation due to Trump's taxes/tariffs. Tariff inflation, even if it is temporary, will further deter overseas buyers in US government debt.
The economic shock of Trump's tax/tariff trade war reverberates in the Treasury bond market. Longer-term Treasury Bond yields have climbed, keeping borrowing costs elevated, even as short-term yields have dropped.
Treasury Bond yields soar after the USA and Zhōngguó agree to reduce taxes/tariffs on each others' exports. The 10-year Treasury yield was up by 0.066% basis points to 4.441%, while the 2-year Treasury yield jumped more than 0.1% basis points to 3.985%.
The world will need to borrow its way out of the financial chaos of Trump's tax/tariff trade war
Why 'Bond King' Jeff Gundlach predicts that record-setting gold is poised for another 20% increase in price
Higher inflation usually leads to closer links between stocks and bonds, reducing the benefit of including both in a portfolio
"So much for not being a 'safe' asset": Treasury Bond yields decline (prices rise) after an excellent auction for 10-year Treasury Bonds
Zhōngguó is avoiding, for now, a "disruptive" de-dollarization despite Trump's tax/tariff trade war, with minimal selling of USA Treasury Bonds. For now.
25 years of higher interest rates ahead? Long-term Treasury Bond yields started rising in 2020, ending a decline from 1980
MIT is the the latest elite college to borrow money from the bond market as universities contend with threats to federal funding under Trump's administration.
Are stocks pricing in a recession more aggressively than bonds?
Stablecoins on track for $2 trillion market capitalization by 2028, predicts the USA Treasury. Stablecoin adoption could accelerate global demand for US Treasury bills, the Treasury predicted.
The finance minister of Nihon threatens the liquidation of USA Treasury Bonds, sparking shock and confusion
Tax and tariff fears have rocked municipal bonds. Why they are still appealing. Many long-term munis now look like bargains. How to get tax-equivalent yields of up to 8%.
Zhōngguó may shift investments from Treasury Bonds to gold and cryptocurrencies
Another effect of Trump's trade wars? An ugly, tailing 7-year Treasury Bond auction sees lowest foreign demand in 3 years. This was a rather weak auction, not just the tail but more ominously, the continued decline in foreign demand.
How Zhōngguó is expanding and accelerating its 'special bonds' program. Beijing is issuing more ultra-long-term government bonds as it strives to shore up the economy of Zhōngguó amid an intensifying trade war with Trump
Buyers strike arrives: foreign demand for 2-year Treasury Bonds at auction craters to 2 year low
The Treasury Bond market has emerged as one of the few brakes on Trump as he pursues his agenda on trade, taxes/taxes, personnel and more. Waves of selling after Trump's on-again, off-again tariff pronouncements have put investors on edge, even after the market recently stabilized somewhat. The bond sell-off has also been accompanied by a decline in the value of the dollar.
Central banks are turning to gold, as two global safe financial havens - the USA dollar and USA Treasury Bonds - are losing credibility due to Trump's economic policies
Bonds are a buy again. Where to find yields of 6% or more. From junk bonds to munis to mortgage securities, yields are elevated and prices depressed. Ten funds to consider.
An even dumber idea than taxes/tariffs from Trump. If import taxes don't rebalance the economy, will Trump try a partial default on Treasury Bonds?
Peter Schiff: the economy of the USA is an unstable 'house of cards'. "Gold is over 3,000. Gold prices are going higher as the world de-dollarizes. Central banks are going to be buying more gold and less Treasury Bonds."
Por qué la reciente emisión de bonos que hizo Colombia es la más grande de su historia
Trump's tax/tariff trade war based on "absurd math" is wrecking the brand of the USA, from USA automobiles to Treasury Bonds. The tariffs are hitting Zhōngguó at a moment when USA brands like Apple, Nike, Tesla and Starbucks are losing market share to homemade rivals.
A steepening of the real US Treasury Bond yield curve is signaling inflation is far from over
Trump taxes/tariffs cause a large sell-off of USA Treasury Bonds. Who sold the bonds? Some argue that it is a combination of selling by the government of Zhōngguó, and selling by insurance companies in Nihon (Nihon owns the most Treasury Bonds).
Treasury Bond yields decline as the SP500 suffers a 'death cross', while the dollar continues to decline, due to Trump's tax/tariff trade war
Treasury Bond yields and the USA dollar (not stocks) are driving Trump's tax/tariff policy flipflops. Declines in Treasury Bond yields and the dollar have much higher political costs than those in stocks.
Shocked by Trump's trade war, foreign investors are selling USA government bonds, long the world's safe haven
"This is not normal": Trump's taxes/tariffs disrupt the bond market. In the usually steady government bond market, the yield on the 10-year Treasury has risen to about 4.5 percent from less than 4 percent at the end of last week.
Investors are growing concerned about an asset of financial assets from the USA as the prices of Treasury Bonds and the USA dollar decline
Investors are growing concerned about an asset of financial assets from the USA as the prices of Treasury Bonds and the USA dollar decline
The bond market's rout, thanks to Trump's tax/tariff trade war, is bad news for the economy of the USA
The problem with active bond ETFs - many of them trade at a premium that effectively makes them much pricier than they first appear
10-year Treasury Bond yields rise abive 4.5% after a surge this week due to Trump's taxes/tariffs, which is worrying Wall Street and the White House
The sell-off in Treasury Bonds and the dollar, due to Trump's tax/tariff trade war, raises questions about the 'safe haven' status of the dollar and Bonds, a status very important to the economy of the USA
The dollar and bond market's ominous message for Trump. The stock-market meltdown that accompanied Trump' intensifying trade war was unsettling enough. The fall in the dollar and rise in bond yields has been truly ominous.
Treasury Bond bid/ask spreads blow out amid funding crisis: "We are starting to look a bit like March 2020" [the Covid crash], warns Goldman Sachs
Why Trump capitulated on his tax/tariff tactics, just hours after they went into effect
A Fox News reporter bursts the MAGA bubble: Trump "capitulated" to the bond market (there were massive sales of USA Treasury bonds) when he delayed taxes/tariffs for 90 days - it wasn't brilliant negotiating, since no tax/tariff deals have been reached with any country.
The basis trade is blowing up, creating a multi-trillion dollar liquidation panic. "There is massive deleveraging going on, any source of liquidity is being tapped ... hedge funds have been liquidating US Treasury basis trades furiously."
In the last 48 hours, yields on 10-year Treasury Bonds spike from 3.9% to 4.5%, a huge increase, as investors sell Treasury Bonds as they grow more worried about Trump's worsening tax/tariff war.
Investors flee to buying shorter-date German government bonds as Trump's taxes/tariffs cause USA Treasury Bonds to decline in price
The rapid sell-off of USA Treasury Bonds raises questions about the 'safe haven' status of these Bonds
Here is how Zhōngguó could crush the housing market in the USA. Zhōngguó could sell its hundreds of billions of dollars of USA mortgage-backed securities in retailiation for Trump's trade war. This would force up mortgage rates in the USA, and kill the housing market.
A dismal, 3-year Treasury Bond auction closes, with the 3rd biggest tail on record - only worse during Covid, and the collapse of the Silicon Valley Bank
The yield on 10-year USA Treasury Bonds rise back above 4% despite the threat to growth of Trump's taxes/tariffs
The VIX is pricing in a recession, while junk bonds (still) see zero risk of a recession
Trump's economic plans are obtaining the Treasury Bond rally he wanted, but for the wrong reasons. Tax/Tariff-driven fears of slower growth have triggered a sharp drop in Treasury Bond yields, which influence borrowing rates.
Dow futures drop over 1500 points (down 3.6%), SP500 drops 4.3%, and Nasdaq drops 4.9%, after Zhōngguó imposes retaliatory taxes/tariffs on imports from the USA. Treasury Bond yields continue to drop on fear that this trade war will lead to a recession.
10-year Treasury Bond yields fall to lowest level since October, down 0.13% to 4.062%, after Trump unveils sweeping new taxes/tariffs
Investors who think the return to high tariffs will hammer the economy into recession should expect much bigger declines in stocks and bond yields
$1,600,000,000 -
GWG Holdings filed for chapter 11 bankruptcy protection nearly three years ago, and now distressed investors who bought $1.6 billion in so-called GWG L bonds have been offered $50.5 million in a settlement proposal made Friday. For several years before its bankruptcy, about 40 broker-dealers sold customers close to $1.6 billion in GWG L bonds, so-called because they were backed by life settlements. The bonds were sold in $1,000 units.
The bond yield curve hits its steepest in 3 years, as gold rises to a new record high. The rise in gold prices in the last three months is its best quarterly gain since 1986.
The Congressional Budget Office estimates that if the debt limit remains unchanged, the government's ability to borrow using extraordinary measures will probably be exhausted in August or September 2025
The Congressional Budget Office estimates that if the debt limit remains unchanged, the government's ability to borrow using extraordinary measures will probably be exhausted in August or September 2025
Overvalued stocks face more downside as the selloff in Treasury Bonds worsens (the selloff pushes up yield, making them more attractive vis-a-vis stocks)
The tax-exempt status of municipal bonds could be at risk, as one Trump policy proposal is to "Eliminate Exclusion of Interest on State and Local Bonds". This frees up money for tax breaks
The Federal Reserve said on Friday the loss it faced last year on its operations declined relative to 2023. The Fed said the total distribution of its comprehensive net loss last year stood at $77.5 billion versus $114.6 billion in the prior year. The Fed last turned a profit in 2022.
The USA Treasury Bond holdings of the Tether stablecoin surpass those of Canada and Taiwan, and rank 7th globally
Five charts that show that credit complacency is fracturing, with trade wars damping what had been a relentless demand for credit, including high yields for junk bonds
Yields on German government bonds spike as the government reaches a debt deal with the Green party, with 100 billion euros channeled to the government's existing climate and transformation fund
Thanks to Trump's erratic economic policies, this week's auction of 30-year Treasury bonds resulted in poor results, as foreign buyers flee the USA market
Stock prices fall as Trump declines to rule out a recession due to his erratic economic policies. The Nasdaq fell 2% and the 10-year Treasury yield slipped to 4.24% after the president said his economic agenda could cause short-term turbulence.
Prices of government bonds around the world declined (driving up bond yields, making it more expensive for governments to borrow money) as investors react to the chaos of Trump's new taxes/tariffs, and after Deutschland agreed to a substantial increase in defense spending
Why the 10-year USA Treasury Bond and the USA dollar are declining in price because Deutschland plans to borrow to spend more money on defense
Prices of futures contracts plunge as the decline in prices of government bonds in Deutschland goes global
An important interest rate falls, but not for the reasons Trump wanted. Investor's increasingly gloomy sentiment about economic growth appears to be driving down the yields on 10-year Treasury Bonds. A better outcome would be for the declining 10-year yield to reflect slowing inflation, the prospect of more rate cuts by the Fed and a shrinking deficit that would require less government borrowing -- all while the economy remained strong.
"Instability and Illiquidity" looms for the Treasury Bond market as credit-cycle turns. A deterioration in credit markets, anticipated by a rise in bankruptcy filings, could trigger a hedge-fund unwind of the large bond-futures basis trade.
The Federal Reserve's favorite recession indicator is flashing a danger sign ahead. The 10-year Treasury yield passed below that of the 3-month note in Wednesday trading. In market lingo, that is known as an "inverted yield curve, and it has had a sterling prediction record.
Moody's lowers the credit rating of Nissan Motor's bonds to junk status. Moody's said the the rating action reflects Nissan's weak profitability driven by slowing demand for its aging portfolio of vehicles.
$132,000,000 -
The competition regulator in the United Kingdom fined Citi, HSBC, Morgan Stanley and Royal Bank of Canada $132 million after a probe into the exchange of sensitive information about government bonds.
National debt has always been the ruin of great political powers. Is the USA next? From Habsburg Spain to Trump's America, there is no escaping the consequences of spending more on interest payments than on defense.
The argument to invest in high-yield, junk, bonds at this point in time
Subprime crash redux: commercial real estate bond distress hits another record high. If this sounds a lot like the subprime crisis of 2006-2008, s because there are many similarities.
If Trump plays games with the repayment of Treasury Bonds, for example, withholding some payments to Zhōngguó, it will destroy global trust in USA Treasury Bonds, a risk-free asset. It will trigger the next global economic crisis, all because of the whims of Trump.
Credit spreads will soon widen if Treasury Secretary Bessent gets his way. High-yield (junk bonds) credit spreads are set to start widening -- and become more reflective of underlying uncertainty -- if Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's preference for lower yields is realized.
Which interest rate should you care about? The Fed's short-term interest rates matter, but the main action now is in the 10-year Treasury Bond market, which influences mortgages, credit cards and much more
The national budget deficit of the USA hits a record high of $840 billion in the first four months of fiscal year 2025, while interest on the national debt hits a record high of $1.2 trillion
10-year Treasury Bond yields rise above 4.6% after consumer prices rise 0.5% in January, more than expencted. The 2-year Treasury Bond yield rose to 4.386%.
"Sell All Things" the market stalls ahead of the 'most important job print' ... since the last one. Everything was sold today - stocks, bonds, gold, crypto, dollar.
Banks are finally able to sell $5.5 billion of Twitter/X loans after investor interest surges because of Musk's authoritarian grab at political power
Bond prices, gold and Big Tech rise in price after a bad jobs report and lessened worries about the trade war with Zhōngguó
Venezuela's government bonds rise above 20 cents to the dollar (for 2027 bonds), up 3.5 cents since Trump took office, after Venezuela agreed to release six imprisoned US citizens and to accept the return of undocumented immigrants sent by the Trump administration
Gold futures set a fresh record on safe-haven demand, a weaker dollar and lower Treasury Bond yields.
The extra reward for owning stocks over bonds has disappeared. A combination of higher Treasury Bond yields and soaring equity valuations pushed the equity risk premium into the red, posing a threat to a recent stock rally.
High interest rates are hammering investors. What lies ahead could be financially worse. Rising rates would be bad news for bondholders and borrowers of all stripes, particularly the U.S. government. They cast a shadow over stocks, too.
Los Angeles is on fire, forcing the municipal bond market to wake to the risks of climate change and global heating
BlackRock CEO wants the SEC to "rapidly approve" tokenization of bonds and stocks, making the stock market even more criminal
The balance sheet of the central Bank of Nihon is an accident waiting to happen
Futures on the stock indexes drop in price as Treasury Bond yields hit a 1-week high
An excellent auction of 20-year Treasury bonds, thanks to the recent yield spike, with the yield on bonds sold today at 4.9%
The USA faces record levels of national debt as Republicans plan tax cuts
The coming battle between Trump versus the budget hawks. How the spending plans of the Republican party that conflict with Trump could be worsened by Wall Street. Rising bond yields are complicating Trump's plans to reduce taxes.
Active bond funds are crushing their benchmarks
"The recovery is still fragile" - yields of government bonds in Zhōngguó hit record lows (as bond prices rise due to investor interest) despite surprise 'beat' of the latest GDP report
Bonds that once haunted banks are now juicing profits. Banks are expecting a bump to their core banking income as older, lower-yielding bonds mature and can be reinvested at today's far higher yields.
Bonds, bitcoin and gold rise in price after some comments from the Fed that they might reduce interest rates some more
A benign inflation report and bullish bank earnings sparks a short-squeeze across all assets: gold, bitcoin, stocks, bonds and oil rise higher in price as the dollar dips in value
Why bond yields are surging around the world. The selloff in government debt is making it costlier to borrow, jarring stocks and pressuring indebted countries.
Stocks are weakening despite signs the US economy is reaccelerating, as higher bond yields are beginning to degrade equity valuations.
Stock-market investors are getting nervous about this bond-market move that has only happened twice in over 40 years. Only twice since the early 1980s has the 10-year yield jumped simultaneously by about as much as the Fed has reduced interest rates -- and it has a lot to do with rising inflation expectations.
The SP500's $18 trillion rally is threatened by the psychology of 5% bond yields. "If the 10-year hits 5% there will be a knee-jerk reaction to sell stocks."
Bond prices are rising. Why that is a problem for stocks.
The United Kingdom is the biggest loser from the rise in bond yields. The magnitude of the selloff served as a reminder that rising borrowing costs will have consequences for highly indebted governments.
The stock market embraced higher yields. Now it fears higher yields. Investors have shifted from thinking higher Treasury yields are an unwelcome side effect of the stronger growth promised by Trump, to worrying that higher borrowing costs might end up being very important.
Bond yield reaction shouldn't be large if payroll history is a guide. Historical data is consistent with a relatively contained net move in US yields after today's payrolls data report.
Government bond yields in the UK hit highs not seen since 1998. Yields on UK government debt rose to their highest levels for over 25 years and the British pound continued to sag against the dollar, as investors worry about increasing levels of government borrowing and a generally lackluster economy.
Soaring bankruptcies bode ill for stocks in the USA. Stocks in the USA are on increasingly unstable ground as credit spreads begin widening due to greater bankruptcy risk, rising yields and a steepening yield curve.
30-year Treasury Bond yields, at the latest auction, are sold at a yield of 4.913%, the highest yield since August 2007
Stocks are close to the most overvalued against corporate credit and Treasuries in about two decades. Corporate bond credit spreads represent the difference between a corporate s yield and a similar maturity USA Treasury Bond.
Government bond yields in the UK rise to a 16-year high, while stocks and the pound decline
Outflows from bond ETFs, such as TLT, have been tremendous over the last two months, due to tax-related needs and pessimism about bond prices.
Bitcoin drops 5% below $97,000 as Treasury Bond yields rising to almost 4.7% put pressure on risky assets. Ether dropped 8%. Coinbase dropped 8% and Microstrategy dropped 9%.
A good time to buy TIPS inflation-protected Treasury Bonds, which are now paying nearly 2.5% above inflation for the 20-year and 30-year TIPS bonds.
The USA will probably lose its last Triple-A credit rating this year
Credit spreads have not looked this good since the 2000s. Can they get better? Corporate bond issuance surged in 2024, fueled by spreads that hit historically low levels.
After another bad year for bond prices (but good for bond yields), investors lose faith in a turnaround. Many worry that a tough environment for bonds could get even worse.
Prepare your bond portfolio for interest rate volatility
10-year Treasury Bond yields rise back above 4.6% after mixed jobless claims data
2024 closes with the strongest demand for 7-year Treasury bonds at auction
Treasury bond yields jump to 6-month highs, with the 10-year bonds rising to a yield of 4.63%
The government of Zhōngguó to issue a record amount of 3 trillion in government bonds to boost the economy
Visualizing $102 trillion of global debt in 2024: 34% held by the USA, 16% by Zhōngguó, 10% held by Nihon - together about 50% of global debt.
Trump's threat to seize the Panama Canal from Panama pushed down Panamanian government bond prices by about $0.01
The yield on 1-year government bonds in Zhōngguó crash below 1% for the first time since 2008
10-year Treasury Bond prices decline, sending yields over 4.5%, as the Fed signals caution on future rate cuts
The Fed reduces interest rates, but projects fewer reductions next year. Federal Reserve officials projected just two rate cuts in 2025, and they made it clear that future reductions would hinge on inflation progress.
A "dire situation" - government bond yields in Zhōngguó hit record low on a "big disappointment" with reports on retail sales
Weak demand for government bonds being sold, and a ballooning budget deficit, are early warning signs for Hong Kong. The weak response to a government bond sale and deficit woes should spur leaders into urgent, resolute action.
Moody's rating service reduces the credit rating for France, in a surprise downgrade amid mounting political chaos.
Moody's rating service reduces the credit rating for France, in a surprise downgrade amid mounting political chaos.
Bonds of banks in France stay resilient but political uncertainty warrants caution. The bonds of major banks in France are expected to remain relatively resilient in the face of the s political and economic challenges, helped by strong credit ratings and substantial international presence, analysts said.
The rupee of Bharat slipped to a record low and government bond prices rose on Tuesday, as the appointment of career bureaucrat Sanjay Malhotra as the next Reserve Bank of Bharat governor raised expectations of interest rate reductions
Why few bond funds are passively managed -- and how to create your own. The main fixed-income index is an easy benchmark for managers to beat and allows them to charge more for doing so. Solution: do it yourself.
The World Bank on Tuesday said developing countries spent a record $1.4 trillion to service their foreign debts in 2023 as interest costs climbed to a 20-year high, squeezing budgets for necessities including healthcare, education and the environment.
The World Bank on Tuesday said developing countries spent a record $1.4 trillion to service their foreign debts in 2023 as interest costs climbed to a 20-year high, squeezing budgets for necessities including healthcare, education and the environment.
Argentina slashed its bloated government budget. The bond market loved it. Argentina's markets are banking on its president being further bolstered by warm relations with Trump.
Automobile manufacturers in Europe and the USA are predicted to lose up to 17% of their combined annual core profits if the Trump imposes import taxes/tariffs on Europe, Mexico and Canada, according to a report published by S&P Global, warning of potential credit downgrades
The bond market's prediction for Trump's economic plans - the plans will cause more inflation. Since the US election, the bond market foresees higher inflation, while fixing swaps have marked up CPI expectations from the second quarter of next year.
Investors are increasingly reluctant to buy USA Treasury Bonds even at these high yields. Investors are concerned about the Trump administration making the national deficit much worse, requiring more bonds to be sold, which will push down bond prices even more
If Trump raises taxes/tariffs on foreign imports, Zhōngguó will need to use more of its money to stimulate the economy of Zhōngguó, leaving less money to buy USA Treasury Bonds. So who is going to fund Trump's expected huge deficits worsened by his proposed tax cuts?
Fed Chair Powell admitted in his remarks today that all is not completely awesome, as he warned The Fed is in "no hurry" to cut rates... and inflation is on a "bumpy path". His comments send down the prices of stocks and bonds.
Fed Chair Powell says that there is no need to "hurry" to reduce interest rates. A strong economy is giving Federal Reserve officials room to move "carefully" as they lower interest rates.
Fed Chair Powell says that there is no need to "hurry" to reduce interest rates. A strong economy is giving Federal Reserve officials room to move "carefully" as they lower interest rates.
Small cap stocks decline, as bond yields, bitcoin and the dollar soar, as gold hits two month lows
If the Trump administration runs excessively stimulative fiscal policy, with lots of spending and tax cuts, leading to even wider deficits, I think then that may cause the bond vigilantes to push yields up to levels that create problems for the economy, and thus for Trump.
Inflation risks are now even more woefully underpriced. TIPS have burst into life after Trump's win, with breakevens up over 10 bps, but the market is still to fully reflect extant inflation risks that have been exacerbated by the result of the election.
10-year Treasury Bond yield rise a huge 0.18% to 4.47% on the Trump win, and a possible sweep of Congress by Republicans
10-year Treasury Bond yield rise a huge 0.18% to 4.47% on the Trump win, and a possible sweep of Congress by Republicans
The bond market signals that interest rates will stay high. Stocks will not like the message.
"It looks like a VaR shock to me": British government bond prices and the British pound crash amid panic over unsustainable UK deficit and tens of billions of dollars in new taxes
Soaring government debts around the world and perceived fiscal laxity are provoking surges in yields and heightened volatility, which may keep sovereign bonds under pressure
Yields on UK government bonds soar after the new Labor government announces huge new deficit spending funded by tax increases, which the markets predict will cause a surge in inflation, and thus want more bond yield
The new Labor government in the United Kingdom raises taxes by over $50 billion to strengthen its finances
Britain targets the wealthy as it increases taxes by $52 billion
Yields for 7-year Treasury bonds decline after a strong auction. What a way to forget all about the ugly taste from the subpar 2-year and 5-year bond auctions earlier this week.
An 'ugly' auction for 2-year Treasury Bonds sends bond yields to session highs, as odds of a Trump victory soar (leading to more inflation and higher yields desired for bonds)
The financial morass of the government of France produces a harsh critique from Moody's. The financial ratings agency, citing a "fiscal deterioration" with rising borrowing and a political logjam, downgraded its outlook for French debt. Last week, Fitch Ratings issued a negative outlook for the sovereign credit rating of France.
The bond market in the USA braces for the 'Trump trade' of large taxes/tariffs and deficits. The 'Trump trade' is a bet that Trump's assuming power would boost inflation and interest rates but might also juice corporate earnings in the near term.
The bond market sniffs inflation. But it is not about Trump.
Watch out: Wall Street is finding new ways to slice and dice loans. Goldman Sachs sold $475 million of a first-of-its-kind deal with public asset-backed securitization bonds backed by 'capital-call' loans. The people who brought you
Traders sell everything as the USA dollar and bond yields soar to 3-month highs, while gold hit a new record high intraday as stocks suddenly noticed the recent surge in bond yields
Futures prices slide in the USA for a third day as the dollar, and bond yield storm higher on Trumpflation trade (inflation caused by Trump imposing huge taxes/tariffs). "The Fed and election expectations have created a bit of a perfect storm for a Treasury market."
Red-hot bond market powers wave of risky borrowing. Issuance of speculative-grade debt reaches nearly record levels, reflecting economic optimism.
Bonds and bitcoin decline, while the USA dollar and crude oil prices jump, as leading economic index hits 8 year lows
The federal deficit of the USA rises above $1.8 trillion in 2024 as interest on debt surpasses trillion-dollar mark. Interest expense for the year totaled $1.16 trillion, the first time that figure has topped the trillion-dollar level.
Moneyprinting quantitative easing is coming for Zhōngguó? According to multiple sources with knowledge of the matter, Zhōngguó may raise 6 trillion yuan from ultra-long special treasury bonds.
Zhōngguó vows to unleash more borrowing to spur economy and strengthen banks. The finance minister said Beijing would sell bonds to supplement spending and help banks but did not detail how much. The government will borrow more to help cash-short localities and put more money in the hands of state-owned banks, an effort to address a severe slowdown in real estate and shore up crumbling consumer confidence.
France could be entering a debt-spiral doom-loop and credit rating downgrade. France now has the largest primary budget deficit of the main European countries, larger than the deficit of Italy.
Do you own junk bonds in your retirement portfolio? It is not as crazy as it sounds. Default rates are low and yields top 7%. How to invest in the upper tiers of the high-yield bond world.
Boeing rejects a contract offer with its union as the SP500 warns about potential negative credit rating due to a prolonged strike
Futures contracts prices decline as bond yields rise back over 4%, while the yield curve reinverts, and oil prices surge
Why investors are putting more money in state-specific municipal bond ETFs. These exchange-traded funds could be especially attractive if tax cuts are not extended at the end of 2025.
The 10-year Treasury yield, a benchmark for mortgages and car loans, jumped back above 4% on Monday amid stronger labor market readings and despite the start of a Federal Reserve rate-cutting campaign last month.
Traders canceled their investments/bets on the pace of future Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts after September US employment data blew past estimates and signaled a robust hiring trend.
Employers in the USA add 254,000 jobs in September, surpassing expectations. The labor market bounced back in September, a sign that economic growth remained solid. The unemployment rate fell to 4.1 percent. Job growth was broad: Health care employment boomed, as did leisure and hospitality; the construction and retail sectors also added a significant number of jobs. Manufacturing was the only major sector to lose jobs.
10-year Treasury bond yields soar after jobs report blows past expectations, rising 0.09%, with 2-year yields up 0.14%.
Wall Street rushes to bring private credit to the masses. Investing titans are jostling to launch funds made up of hard-to-trade private loans.
France's fall from economic 'grace' is almost complete. For the first time since 2008, French bond yields are on the verge of trading above their counterparts in the periphery of Europe.
Peter Schiff predicts: "There is no doubt in my mind that we are going to have quantitative easing (printing money to buy bonds) probably at the latest by the first quarter of 2025. The Fed may even start after the election, depending on how bad things are."
Many cities and counties in the USA are selling bonds to cover costs from storms and drought caused by global heating, which many of these Republican states deny is happening .
The interest rate cut happened, but not all borrowing costs are going down. The yield on 10-year Treasury notes is a reminder that the Fed does not have complete control over borrowing costs.
The 12 Federal Reserve banks, once big moneymakers for the Treasury, are now posting losses. Rate cuts will help, but not for years.
One reason the Fed reduced interest rates, despite a decent economy, is that the Fed itself and commercial banks, are suffering huge unrealized losses on bonds they own that were issued when interest rates were lower.
10-year Treasury Bond yields jump as investors predict that there is no recession ahead
Bitcoin and Big Tech (Apple, Nvidia) are battered down, while bond yields and oil rise, as expectations for an interest rate reduction by the Fed of 0.5% soar
"Significant" dollar downside risks continue to build. The real yield curve continues to invert, deterring inflows to the US and keeping the dollar in a downtrend.
The strike by machinists at Boeing adds cash crunch to the new CEO's rescue mission. Ratings firms are warning that a prolonged work stoppage could sink Boeing's debt into junk status.
Moody's threatens bonds issued by Boeing with a downgrade to 'junk' status, as a strike halts 737 production
The downside of falling interest rates. While rate cuts are welcome in much of the economy, they pose problems for risk-averse investors who relish high money market and bond yields.
Are local governments in Zhōngguó using unsustainable tactics to repay debt? From "smashing pots" to special bonds, regional officials are running out of ways to squeeze businesses for more money, experts say.
The yield curve shifts, part 2: bull steepening is bearish for stocks. If the current bull steepening continues, the likelihood that gold, gold miners, and the more conservative, lower beta sectors outperform the broader market is good.
The debt crisis in Africa has "catastrophic implications" for the world. Crushing obligations to foreign creditors that have few precedents have drained numerous nations in Africa of growth and stoked social instability.
The central bank of Zhōngguó enters the treasury bond market with net buy of 100 billion yuan ($14 billion). It is its first treasury bond trade in nearly two decades in open markets, debuting a long-awaited monetary tool to help manage the domestic bond market and stabilise the economy.
Investors have been strongly buying government bonds in Zhōngguó, pushing yields to record lows. The rally has elicited an unusual response from the central bank of Zhōngguó.
Fed Chair Powell's pivot on interest rates sparks buying panic in bonds, bitcoin, and gold as the USA dollar dumps to 2024 lows
Gold, stocks, bitcoin and bonds surge in price as Fed Chair Powell says that the "time has come for policy to adjust", i.e., cocainized the markets with interest rate cuts
Fed Chair Powell vows to reduce interest rates with stocks, home prices, rents and foods at all time highs. What can possibly go WRONG? The Fed will end its tightening cycle and starts the next easing cycle with stocks at all time highs, something that has never before happened in the history of capital markets! Second, this is also the first time in history when the Fed has aborted a tightening cycle having achieved zero home price easing.
Stocks and bonds slammed ahead of Jackson Hole meeting as FedSpeak slows interest rate-cut euphoria
A dovish Fed on interest rates, and a dismal job-revisions (adjusted down 800,000) send bonds, big-tech, bitcoin, and gold bullion higher
Minutes of the Fed FOMC show the "vast majority" can agree with an interest rate reduction in September
Minutes of the Fed FOMC show the "vast majority" can agree with an interest rate reduction in September
Revision of USA jobs data, down 818,000 jobs, is the second worst revision in USA history, and an election year shocker
The government of Zhōngguó pleads "please stop buying our bonds". Plunging yields are a symptom of economic weakness that are easier to fix than curing the troubled economy of Zhōngguó.
Moody's slashes the credit rating of Mount Sinai Hospital to near 'junk bond' status due to risks with Sinai's Beth Israel hospital system.
Prices of stocks soar, while bitcoin and bond prices are battered down, on 'fake' data (supposedly retail sales soared in August thanks to massive historical revisions), as the VIX plunges at a record pace
10-year Treasury yield tops 3.9% after strong retail sales quiet concern about a slowdown
Retail sales surpassed Wall Street's estimates in July, helping ease concerns of a significant slowdown in the US economy. Retail sales rose 1% in July, wihle economists had expected a 0.4% increase in spending.
Consumer spending jumped in July as retail sales were up 1%, much better than predicted
Is the USA Treasury manipulating the bond market (by adjusting the maturity profile of its debt issuance) with stealth QE to boost the financial market and economy to help the Democrats win the election in November?
The central bank of Zhōngguó prepares to conduct stress tests on financial institutions' exposure to bond holdings, in the latest effort to rein in a monthslong rally and prevent fallout risks
Gold, bonds and oil soar in price, as stocks swing wildly in price to end unchanged, ahread of a big data week
Shares of JetBlue Airways drop about 20% after it announced plans to raise about $3.15 billion in capital through separate debt offerings, the majority backed by its loyalty program, TrueBlue, as it tries to improve its liquidity
Shares of bitcoin miner Marathon Digital Holdings drop 7% after it states that it will sell $250 million of convertible senior notes and use the proceeds to buy more bitcoin
Stocks erase the losses from 'Black Monday' as volatility tumbles; bond yields and black gold (oil) surge
Yields on 10-year Treasury Bonds rise back above 3.98%, after Wall Street assessed weekly jobless claims data that came in below expectations, and allayed some concerns of a weakening labor market
Weekly initial claims for unemployment insurance fall to 233,000, less than expected, in a positive sign for labor market
Stocks decline after an ugly auction for 10-year Treasury Bonds, after stock prices rose in the morning
Warren Buffett now owns more Treasury Bills than the Federal Reserve
USA Treasury Bond yields rebounded from one-year lows on Monday after a Federal Reserve official said weaker than expected jobs data for July does not indicate a recession, while solid U.S. services sector activity eased some fears that the United States is heading into an economic downturn
Stocks, crude oil, and Treasury Bond yields plunge in price, as a "growth scare" sparks a surge in hopes that the Fed will increase interest rates soon, hopefully at least 4 times in the rest of 2024
Credit ratings were meant to help sub-Saharan countries tap global investors to fund much-needed development. But low scores, heavy borrowing and bad luck have left many struggling with crushing bond debt
Bonds and gold soar in July amid a 'dot-com style' collapse in crowded Big Tech trades
The central bank of Nihon confirms a $37 billion intervention in the currency markets as a weak yen pushes the Bank of Nihon to increase interest rates
This week, the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at 5.25% to 5.50%, but is expected to signal that an interest rate reduction will occur in September
Three reasons not to buy long-term Treasury Bonds: the Fed is no hurry to reduce interest rates (pushes up bond prices), any rate reductions won't affect long-term bonds, and short-term bonds are a better way to build a bond portfolio
The USA Treasury estimates that it needs to sell $1.3 trillion in Treasury Bonds for the remainder of 2024 to fund the USA government
Venezuela's bonds and those of state oil firm PDVSA fell deeper into distressed territory (some below 15 cents to the dollar) on Monday, after President Nicolas Maduro stole the latest presidential elections
Investors gobble up bonds that can turn into stocks. Lyft, Snap and others are raising money by issuing convertible bonds.
$80,000,000 -
Six banks including Bank of America, UBS, Nomura and Citigroup agreed to pay $80 million to settle antitrust litigation in New York accusing them of conspiring to rig prices of European government bonds
Should you prefer stocks or bonds? The indicators are biased up towards buying bonds.
Strong demand for 2-year Treasury Bonds from foreign buyers forces down bond yields
How Wall Street keeps absorbing the borrowing fiscal insanity of the federal government. Demand for safety and bond yield has supported the price of Treasury Bonds, despite a huge supply increase.
Inflation, not Trump, is driving the steepening of the yield-curve in the USA steepening... and there is more to come
The BlackRock USD Institutional Digital Liquidity (BUIDL) fund has reached a $500 million market cap, making it the first tokenized treasury fund to reach this milestone
The yield on 10-year Treasury bonds decline after June CPI statistics unexpectedly decrease by 0.1%, though Core CPI increased 0.2% in June
Saudi Arabia threatened to sell European bonds if assets of Rossiya were confiscated to help undermine Rossiya's invasion of Ukraine, the Saudis choosing the more oil-rich country to support
Paper money - the USA dollar and USA Treasury bonds - are hardly scarce, too many actually, and that is why gold beats both
Local governments in Zhōngguó need debt relief, an academic argues, supporting the use of national government bonds to ease local debt burdens. As local governments in Zhōngguó suffer under the weight of debt, a former adviser to the central bank has called for treasury bonds to ease the burden.
The precipitous fall of the yen of Nihon. The yen recently fell below 160 yen to the USA dollar, its lowest value in more than 30 years. One main reason is the different in interest rates set by the Bank of Nihon and the USA Federal Reserve.
It is time to lock in yields before interest rates drop. Cash will become less attractive when the Federal Reserve finally begins cutting rates.
The strong USA dollar spells opportunity for investors. Quality corporate bonds, mortgage-backed securities, and overseas stocks look attractive at these lofty levels for the currency.
The increasing likelihood of a second Trump administration has helped spark a steep selloff in USA government bonds, pushing up bond yields.
Stocks, bonds and gold soar in price amid political panic and a macro meltdown on a holiday-shortened day
Money is rushing into the government bonds of Zhōngguó, sending their prices soaring and yields plunging to record lows as investors hunt for a safer alternative to the ravaged real estate market and volatile stocks of Zhōngguó. The yield on Zhōngguó's onshore 10-year government bond, which is a benchmark for a wide range of interest rates, touched 2.18% on Monday, the lowest since 2002 when records began. Yields on 20-year and 30-year bonds are also hovering around historic lows.
Attempts by Zhōngguó to rein in the rally in government bonds will only slow it temporarily, an analyst predicts. "The yields have been trending down for most of this year, mainly because the market is not so optimistic about the growth outlook."
If you can't beat high mortgage rates, consider joining them. A high cost to borrow is also resulting in higher yields for investors in some mortgage bonds.
Nihon to issue bonds with shorter maturities as Bank of Nihon begins tapering quantitative easing
$14,000,000,000 -
Norinchukin, a giant bank in Nihon, will liquidate $63 billion in Treasuries and European bonds to plug massive (2.2 trillion yen - about $14 billion) unrealized losses on its bonds
Bitcoin, oil and Big Tech jump to start the week, despite bond yields rising and lower expectactions of pumping interest rate reductions
A big bond rally is promising some help for home buyers. The sharp rise in bond prices has pushed down the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note, a benchmark for mortgage rates and other borrowing costs across the economy.
Stocks in France tumble to worst week in two years over election fears. Investors worry about a possible debt crisis in the country as polls show the far right could be brought to the brink of power in less than a month.
Another day, another push to give many millions to multimillionaires. These subsidies to build new stadiums for billionaires is complete economic nonsense -- "billionaries using public funds to build a private playground for the rich and powerful". The 'economic impact studies' n which stadium subsidies are based have another name: lies.
A federal appeals court said Puerto Rico bondholders have collateral rights over revenue generated by its bankrupt public power utility, a ruling that could delay and possibly upend a planned $10 billion debt restructuring
A stellar 30-year Treasury Bond auction sends 10-year bond yield to three month low. What went as high as 4.70% in late April is now coming down just as fast.
Inflation eases in May as consumer prices rise at slower than expected pace, with no rise in one month, and up 3.3% since last May.
Consumer prices hold at record highs - up 20% since Biden elected. But Core CPI fell to its lowest since April 2021.
The Dow rises 300 points and the SP500 hits a record high, after inflation slowed in May, sending Treasury Bond yields tumbling before the Federal Reserve's June interest-rate decision
Bond investors are paying up again for active fund managers. About 74% of active funds beat their benchmarks in the past 12 months.
Treasury Bond yields jump to one-week high after an ugly 3-year bond auction
The plans of the USA to fix its economy is going to 'screw over' the rest of the world. The problem is if the Fed doesn't reduce interest rates as other central banks are reducing interest rates. Money will flow from the rest of the world to the USA to buy Treasury Bonds.
Traders of USA Treasury Bonds had their hopes for a bond rally dashed by surprise strength in the labor market in the USA that raised odds the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates higher for longer
Credit Suisse bondholders sue Switzerland in the USA over $17 billion writedown of AT1 debt
Several economic and financial market metrics suggest that bond yields are too high: diverging up from commodities prices and GDP growth and bond volatility
Goldman Sachs predicts that long-term bond yields are about to spike up again
Bond prices and bitcoin rise in price (but not stocks) as 'bad' news jolts interest rate reductions back to life
The great bull market in bonds began in 1984. Is a reverse in the future? 30-year bond rates fell from 15% in 1982 to less than 1% in 2020. They are now back to near 5%, and could go higher.
Treasury Bond yields soar as hopes plunge for interest rate reductions by the Federal Reserve - stocks, oil and gold are sold, while Nvidia hits a record new high
Treasury Bond yields spike to session highs after a sub-par auction of 7-year Treasury bonds
Zero-percent down mortages are once again available. What could go wrong, other than everything like the last time.
BlackRock surpasses Grayscale as the largest ETF for bitcoins in the world
How the world got into $315 trillion of debt, much of which is owed by Nihon and the USA. Public debt is $91 trillion, close to 100% of global GDP.
Central banks of many countries are selling USA Treasury Bonds, and using some proceeds to buy more gold, to distance themselves more from the huge debts of the USA
USA Treasury Bills are the best place to invest your cash. Just ask Warren Buffett. Their 5%-plus yield looks attractive -- especially with the Federal Reserve unlikely to cut interest rates soon.
The yield curve is inverted -- but there is still no recession. Why?
Los bonos de Colombia caen tras las alertas del Presidente Petro sobre el techo de deuda
CFOs lock in savings with interest-rate swaps amid uncertainty about Fed rate cuts. Some companies are saving millions of dollars by entering into interest-rate swaps as they confront the possibility it could be a while before the Federal Reserve cuts rates.
The price of new 30-year government bonds in Zhōngguó have been volatile since their recent debut, as small investors pile into a bet seen as safer than the the property and equities markets in hōngguó.
The price of new 30-year government bonds in Zhōngguó has whipsawed since their recent debut, as small investors pile into a bet seen as safer than the the property and equities markets in hōngguó.
Alibaba's bond sale is "oversubscribed". Alibaba is selling $5 billion of convertible bonds to fund buybacks
Stocks fade as the market pump, after Nvidia's earnings report, withers, and as 'hot' PMI data causes bond yields to rise
Ten-year government bonds in Nihon rise above 1% for the first time sicne 2013
The global bond market is on the verge of a selloff as commodities reawaken. The broadening commodity rally threatens to feed into global inflation and kickstart another bond selloff.
Nippon Life Insurance, the largest insurer in Nihon by asset size, is planning to invest more in foreign credit markets, looking to diversify its portfolio even as key domestic yields hover at decade highs.
Sporting events are great, but what is not great - but waste - is subsidies for sports stadiums that benefit the rich, often billionaires, a benefit paid by much poorer taxpayers
A soft CPI report and sloppy sales spark run to record highs for stocks, bonds, gold and bitcoin
Stocks, bonds, gold and bitcoin soar in price as hopes for interest rate cuts rise on small CPI miss
The latest CPI report shows that inflation eased in April, with consumer prices rising 3.4% from one year ago
Bnod yields decline, and could drop further if today's CPI figure is low
The Fed maintains interest rates steady, noting lack of progress on inflation. The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged for a sixth straight meeting and suggested that rates would stay high for longer.
The Fed says that inflation progress has stalled and extends wait-and-see rate stance. The central bank officials also approved a plan to slow the continuing reduction of their $7.4 trillion asset portfolio.
The significant rise in gold and silver prices if yet to start, as the national debt of the USA and massive Treasury Bond issuance will worsen inflation
Even if the Fed reduces interest rates, the days of ultralow rates are over. Soaring budget deficits and investment needs mean ther 'neutral' interest rate may be higher.
Soaring yields of USA Treasury Bonds challenge stock-market gains. New signs of lingering inflation have driven yields to the highest levels of the year.
Bonds have had a wild ride. The roller coaster is coming to a stop. The path forward for the Fed has narrowed considerably. You put bonds to bed until after the election, Harley Bassman writes in a guest commentary.
Shares of Boeing drop 7% after Moody's downgrades Boeing's credit rating to one notch above 'junk' (from Baa3 to Baa2)
As the Federal Reserve and the Treasury - implicitly or otherwise - increasingly coordinate their actions, it is bad for bond prices
A recent jump in the yields of USA government bond has left investors pondering whether the 10-year Treasury yield could reach 5% as expectations for interest-rate cuts continue to be scaled back
Ray Dalio's risk-parity hedge fund has mostly trailed a simple 60/40 portofolio in the last five years. Such hedge funds have had clients withdraw $70 billion in the last three years.
National debt is important: why it is time to position into countries with low outstanding debt
How not to invest in the bond market. Investors bought billions of long-term USA government bonds last year. Right on cue, the market tanked -- again.
Pension funds are selling hundreds of billions of dollars of stocks, and buying bonds
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the scams of CDOs and other financing esoterica are back with SRTs, NAV loans and more.
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- Alibaba's South China Morning Post, 02 July 2024
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 22 June 2024
- Zero Hedge, 19 June 2024
- Zero Hedge, 18 June 2024
- Zero Hedge, 17 June 2024
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 17 June 2024
- Ochs-Sulzberger's New York Times, 15 June 2024
- Am. Inst. Economic Research, 14 June 2024
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 14 June 2024
- Zero Hedge, 13 June 2024
- Apollo Global's Yahoo Finance, 12 June 2024
- Zero Hedge, 12 June 2024
- Comcast's CNBC, 12 June 2024
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 12 June 2024
- Zero Hedge, 10 June 2024
- Business Insider, 09 June 2024
- Bloomberg, 07 June 2024
- Comcast's CNBC, 07 June 2024
- Paulsen Perspectives, 05 June 2024
- Zero Hedge, 05 June 2024
- Zero Hedge, 04 June 2024
- Barron's, 01 June 2024
- Zero Hedge, 29 May 2024
- Zero Hedge, 29 May 2024
- Zero Hedge, 29 May 2024
- Zero Hedge, 28 May 2024
- Comcast's CNBC, 27 May 2024
- Zero Hedge, 26 May 2024
- Barron's, 25 May 2024
- Barron's, 25 May 2024
- La Republica, 24 May 2024
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 24 May 2024
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 24 May 2024
- Alibaba's South China Morning Post, 24 May 2024
- Alibaba's South China Morning Post, 24 May 2024
- Zero Hedge, 23 May 2024
- Zero Hedge, 22 May 2024
- Zero Hedge, 22 May 2024
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 17 May 2024
- Cato News, 15 May 2024
- Zero Hedge, 15 May 2024
- Zero Hedge, 15 May 2024
- Comcast's CNBC, 15 May 2024
- Zero Hedge, 15 May 2024
- Ochs-Sulzberger's New York Times, 01 May 2024
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 01 May 2024
- Von Greyerz Gold, 29 April 2024
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 29 April 2024
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 29 April 2024
- Barron's, 27 April 2024
- Zero Hedge, 24 April 2024
- Zero Hedge, 23 April 2024
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 23 April 2024
- Bloomberg, 22 April 2024
- Bnod Vigilantes, 21 April 2024
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 20 April 2024
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 19 April 2024
- Zero Hedge, 18 April 2024
Zhōngguó sells more US Treasury Bonds as the odds of interest rate reductions by the Federal Reserve become unlikely in 2024
- Alibaba's South China Morning Post, 18 April 2024
For the past few years, central banks have greatly slowed purchase of USA Treasury Bonds, and bought gold (including buying gold from ETFs)
- Zero Hedge, 18 April 2024
USA Treasury Bonds are getting harder to sell. Record issuance raises worries that debt sales will exacerbate volatility. A series of weak auctions for U.S. Treasurys are stoking concerns of investors that markets will struggle to absorb an incoming rush of government debt.
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 15 April 2024
With low recession risk, there is no need to own Treasuries for those that do not have to, and with increasingly entrenched inflation, there is little reason not to short them as yields rise.
- Zero Hedge, 11 April 2024
The Fed prepares slower pace of runoff for $7.4 trillion "fairly soon". Officials have been allowing $60 billion in Treasurys to mature every month, but could lower that amount.
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 11 April 2024
It is oddly fitting that in a time when the interest on US debt just hit a record $1.1 trillion, that the US deficit for just the first six months of fiscal 2024 is also $1.1 trillion
- Zero Hedge, 10 April 2024
Surveying the market carnage after the latest CPI report. Expectations for Fed action have collapsed - now less than two initerst rate-cuts priced in for 2024.
- Zero Hedge, 10 April 2024
Consumer prices rose 3.5% from a year ago in March, more than expected, making an acceleration for inflation. Following the report, traders pushed the first expected interest rate cut out to September.
- Comcast's CNBC, 10 April 2024
After the CPI report, the major stock indexes dropped over 1% with the Dow down over 500 points, as Treasury Bond yields rise with the 10-year above 4.5%
- Comcast's CNBC, 10 April 2024
10-year Treasury yield jumps back above 4.5% after March inflation tops estimates
- Comcast's CNBC, 10 April 2024
A disappointing auction of 3-year Treasury Bonds, as investors wait for Wednesday's inflation data.
- Zero Hedge, 09 April 2024
Treasury Bond yields to stay elevated as inflation emboldens short bond trade
- Zero Hedge, 08 April 2024
As bond yields continue to rise, when will it start to hurt stock prices? At 4.8% for bond yields, the equity bull market is at risk.
- Zero Hedge, 08 April 2024
Survey data shows that outright shorts in US Treasuries are near lows. But investors are missing a trick as inflation risks point to higher bond volatility and yields.
- Zero Hedge, 08 April 2024
Behind today's stellar jobs print: it was literally all part-time jobs (and illegals). Since March 2023, the number of full-time workers has collapsed by 1.347 million while the number of part-time workers exploded by 1.888 million!
- Zero Hedge, 05 April 2024
Bond yields are correct to assume jobs market has not yet cracked. The widening gap between household employment and payrolls is causing concern the weaker message from the household survey is the more accurate.
- Zero Hedge, 05 April 2024
March jobs report comes in 'red-hot' at 303,000, above highest esimate as unemployment rate drops. As we wrote in our preview, while big data hinted at a weaker than expected March jobs print, the relentless influx of immigrants would lead to a hotter than expected payrolls number.
- Comcast's CNBC, 05 April 2024
Job growth zoomed in March as payrolls jumped by 303,000 and unemployment dropped to 3.8%. THis strength of the economy is one more reason the Fed won't rush to reduce interest rates in 2024.
- Comcast's CNBC, 05 April 2024
$48,200,000 -
Trump's bond benefactor, Don Hankey, earned billions from subprime car loans. In 2015, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau ordered two of his companies, Westlake Services L.L.C. and Wilshire Consumer Credit, to refund customers $44 million and pay a $4.2 million fine for deceiving customers
- Ochs-Sulzberger's New York Times, 02 April 2024
Knight Speciality Insurance agrees to issue a bond of $175 million to Trump to allow Trump to appeal a conviction for business fraud
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 02 April 2024
Knight Speciality Insurance is known for providing high-interest loans to car buyers with bad credit histories - subprime auto loans.
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 02 April 2024
The central bank of Zhōngguó remains "cautious" in its purchase of government bonds, despite orders from President Xi Jinping. Analysts say bank wants to avoid large-scale intrusion into bond markets, prevent perceptions of quantitative easing or heavy-handedness.
- Alibaba's South China Morning Post, 29 March 2024
How Fed announcements are now changing the direction of the price of gold (in the past, gold correlated with 10-year bond yields)
- Political Calculations, 26 March 2024
Bond prices in Argentina increase due the reforms of the new president. The bond market likes Javier Melei's plan to fix the economy while legislators are less enthused. The president is now working on another plan.
- Barron's, 23 March 2024
The 'Powell put' sparks surge in stocks, bonds, & the dollar; gold and oil flat for week
- Zero Hedge, 22 March 2024
Trump is rejected by 30 insurance companies as he seeks a $454 million bond that he needs to appeal a civial fraud penalty in New York
- Ochs-Sulzberger's New York Times, 19 March 2024
The effects will not happen quickly as Nihon ends selling is bonds with negative interest rates. The long-term effects of positive rates could be profound -- on everything from mortgage rates to U.S. government finances.
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 19 March 2024
Big Tech and oil surge in price, as bond pricesand bitcoin decline in price, all ahead of the next Fed meeting
- Zero Hedge, 18 March 2024
The price of gold remains steady, despite high USA Treasury Bond yields, as traders focus on Fed policy, where a hawkish stance could potentially impact gold prices while bolstering the dollar
- FX Street, 18 March 2024
$1 trillion in 2024 maturities of commerical real estate debt could lead to hundreds of bank failures
- Zero Hedge, 18 March 2024
The Energy Department is moving forward on a deal to provide a $2.3 billion loan to Lithium Americas in an effort to shore up domestic supplies of a mineral vital for the production of electric vehicles. They are so unreliable that they couldn't get a loan from a bank?
- Ochs-Sulzberger's New York Times, 15 March 2024
The Energy Department is moving forward on a deal to provide a $2.3 billion loan to Lithium Americas in an effort to shore up domestic supplies of a mineral vital for the production of electric vehicles. They are so unreliable that they couldn't get a loan from a bank?
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 15 March 2024
Corporate bond issuance is booming -- but not sustainability-linked bonds. With its rate tied to meeting certain goals, issuance of this ESG-linked debt has tanked. Some say the SEC's new emissions-disclosure rule might eventually spur demand.
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 14 March 2024
Stellar auction of 30-year Treasury Bonds sees biggest stop through since January 2023
- Zero Hedge, 13 March 2024
Ugly, tailing auction of 10-year Treasury bonds sees lowest foreign demand of 2024
- Zero Hedge, 12 March 2024
Payroll report in the USA can send dollar and Treasury bonds in opposite direction. Another robust showing in US non-farm payrolls could reignite the ascent of the dollar while prompting a decline in Treasuries heading into the weekend.
- Zero Hedge, 08 March 2024
Total borrowing by governments in rich countries is set to hit a record high of $15.8 trillion this year, with the cost of making interest payments rising over coming years as bonds issued before the inflation surge mature.
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 08 March 2024
Zhōngguó will issue the equivalent of $139 billion in special ultralong bonds this year, part of plans to boost business activity and achieve its ambitious economic growth target of around 5% for 2024.
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 06 March 2024
Eye-catching jump in inflation expectations threatens bonds, and will put upward pressure on yields
- Zero Hedge, 01 March 2024
Ten reasons the Federal Reserve will not reduce interest rates in 2024
- Zero Hedge, 01 March 2024
Treasury Bond yields hit session high as bonds slump after record 5-year bond auction tails
- Zero Hedge, 26 February 2024
Ugly 2-year Treasury Bond auction tails as size jumps to record $63 billion
- Zero Hedge, 26 February 2024
Target-date funds are not carefree. The bond debate. Some investment managers say that using passive bond indexes for target-date funds makes them more volatile when interest rates gyrate.
- Barron's, 24 February 2024
A troubling consequence of massive spending: the mounting costs of the national debt of the USA, which in an era of high interest rates, adds over $1 trillion/year to the national deficit
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 17 February 2024
Destin Jenkins, the Stanford professor of history, who is attacking racism in the $4 trillion market for municipal bonds. He is reporting on how municipal bonds have contributed to inequality in American cities.
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 16 February 2024
Stocks, bonds and gold plummet after the latest CPI numbers remain high, further dampening hopes that the Fed will reduce interest rates in the near future
- Zero Hedge, 13 February 2024
Hotter-than-expected inflation clouds interest rate-cut outlook. Inflation declined slightly to 3.1% in January, while underlying prices ticked up slightly more than expected.
- Zero Hedge, 13 February 2024
Zero Hedge CPI prediction: "There is a genuine risk" inflation will come in hotter/higher than expected
- Zero Hedge, 13 February 2024
Bond liquidity liable to worsen as inflation volatility is high. The combination of supported growth, receding US recession risk, heightened inflation uncertainty, and a deterioration in bond liquidity is a complete recipe for higher bond yields.
- Zero Hedge, 12 February 2024
In a first, Moody's downgrades the credit rating of Israel due to its invasion of Gaza
- Zero Hedge, 10 February 2024
A surge in growth, as measured by improving financial condition indexes, means bond yields are going up, yet few professional investors believe so
- Zero Hedge, 08 February 2024
The national debt of the USA is predicted to reach $54 trillion over the next ten years, an increase of $19 trillion. Congressional Budget Office projections released on Wednesday said a growing economy and recent spending cuts had slowed deficits.
- Ochs-Sulzberger's New York Times, 08 February 2024
The credit rating of New York Community Bancorp reduce to 'junk' status (from Ba2 to Baa3) by Moody's, the ratings agency. 33% of NYCB's deposits are uninsured. Higher interest rates on commercial real estate loans managed by the bank are creating higher maintenance costs for the borrowers, and the value of the collateral in the properties has been reduced..
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 06 February 2024
New problems with a regional bank spark a bid for bonds, gold and bitcoin
- Zero Hedge, 06 February 2024
The SEC to crack down on basis trades (trading bonds with 20-times leverage to greatly magnify moves as little as 0.01% in bond yields), and will force top hedge funds to register as dealers, which could result in a collapse of liquidity in the Treasury Bond market
- Zero Hedge, 06 February 2024
The SEC to crack down on basis trades (trading bonds with 20-times leverage to greatly magnify moves as little as 0.01% in bond yields), and will force top hedge funds to register as dealers, which could result in a collapse of liquidity in the Treasury Bond market
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 06 February 2024
Bonds, bullion, banks, and bitcoin battered as "good news is bad news" again after Powell says that interest rates will not be reduced soon
- Zero Hedge, 05 February 2024
Stocks fell Monday as Treasury Bond yields spiked higher on concerns that the Federal Reserve may not cut interest rates as much as expected as the 'addicts' on Wall Street hoped. Dow down nearly 1%, SP500 down 0.5%, Nasdaq down 0.6%.
- Comcast's CNBC, 05 February 2024
10-year Treasury Bond yields surge a second day to 4.17% as interest rate cut chances get pushed further back
- Comcast's CNBC, 05 February 2024
A record $10 trillion in Treasury Bonds need to be sold in 2024. Someone will need to buy more than $10 trillion in USA government bonds in 2024. That is more than one-third of US government debt outstanding. And more than one-third of US GDP.
- Zero Hedge, 04 February 2024
The massive beat for payrolls, and resurgence in average hourly earnings, prompted a sharp response from markets with the dollar spiking, along with bond yields (10-year above 4% again), as gold (down $20) and the yield curve tumbled, as rate-cut expectations plunged.
- Zero Hedge, 02 February 2024
A blockbuster jobs report (admittedly with distortions) allows the Fed to be patient as it waits to reduce interest rates. Given continued strength of the economy, the Federal Reserve is unlikely to feel pressure to cut interest rates at its next meeting in March.
- Ochs-Sulzberger's New York Times, 02 February 2024
Stocks, bond yields, and gold decline in price after Fed Chair Powell makes it very clear - no immediate interest rate reductions, while assailing the market bubbling of AI
- Zero Hedge, 31 January 2024
The Fed signals interest rate reductions are possible but not imminent as it holds rates steady. The cenbnk{USA} bank abandons formal guidance that had kept hikes on the table since last raising rates in July.
- Ochs-Sulzberger's New York Times, 31 January 2024
Treasury Bond yields tumble, futures soar after the USA Treasury unexpectedly slashes borrowing estimates. And in three months, when the actual debt issuance comes in about $200BN higher, well.
- Zero Hedge, 29 January 2024
While Asian countries won't sell their huge Treasury Bond portfolios, they may be less interested in buying a lot of the $2 trillion in Treasury Bonds that the USA needs to sell this year. And if one country starts selling, they will all start selling, send up bond yields (and the debt problems of the USA) up sharply.
- Murdoch's Barron's, 27 January 2024
A 'catastrophic' auction for 5-year Treasury bonds sends yields surging
- Zero Hedge, 24 January 2024
Cryptocurrencies continue to decline in price as the dollar spikes, yield curve steepens with 'soft' data slumping
- Zero Hedge, 23 January 2024
Companies are on a $150 billion debt binge, borrowing at the fastest pace to start the year in 3 decades. Firms took out a record $150 billion in bond-issued debt this month, the most ever recorded in the first few weeks of January.
- Business Insider, 22 January 2024
Citigroup, a giant broker in the world of municipal bonds, is quitting the business. What it means for the $4 trillion market. State and local governments have long relied on muni market heavyweight.
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 22 January 2024
Stocks and bond prices tumble after the Fed's Waller issued comments that push down odds of interest rate reductions by the Fed
- Zero Hedge, 16 January 2024
Stock index futures decline as the USA dollar surges, and the 10-year Treasury Bond yield rises above 4%
- Zero Hedge, 16 January 2024
The Treasury Bond yield-curve dis-inverts after a 'cool' PPI report, with gold and bond prices bouncing
- Zero Hedge, 12 January 2024
A 'hot' inflation report dampens hopes of interest rate reductions by the Fed, sending up the prices of cryptocurrencies and the yields of Treasury Bonds
- Zero Hedge, 11 January 2024
10-year Treasury Bond yield rises above 4.06% after higher-than-expected December CPI
- Comcast's CNBC, 11 January 2024
Three-year Treasury bonds received a good auction since bond yields dropped sharply just ahead of the pricing
- Zero Hedge, 09 January 2024
Option positioning for Treasury Bonds is a lot more balanced as bonds correct. Sentiment toward Treasuries is showing a remarkable pullback from the exuberance of coming bond price increase that we saw toward the go-go days of November and December.
- Zero Hedge, 08 January 2024
Wall Street starts buying bonds again. The consensus is that the Fed won't increase interest rates for this economic cycle, making further investments in Treasurys and highly rated corporate bonds a good bet, analysts managers say.
- Murdoch's Wall Street Journal (locked), 08 January 2024
Inside the catastrophic jobs report: a record 1.5 million decline/crash in full-time jobs, while the number of multiple jobholders soar to a record high, and while the number of native born workers plunge
- Zero Hedge, 05 January 2024
Stock and bond prices, and gold prices, decline as hopes for interest rate reductions plunge after today's 'positive' jobs report
- Zero Hedge, 05 January 2024
The number of new jobs rose more than predictted in December, and wages increased, while unemployment remains low. An economy doing well enough for the Fed not to reduce interest rates in March, depriving the stock markets of their favorite drug.
- Zero Hedge, 05 January 2024
The odds of an interest rate reduction by the ECB decline after reports that inflation in the EU re-acclerated in December
- Zero Hedge, 05 January 2024
Global bonds and stocks suffer the biggest rout to start a year since 1999, with global bond and stock capitalization down $1.55 trillion.
- Zero Hedge, 03 January 2024
Treasury Bond prices are predicting imminent reductions in interest rates by the Fed. The inordinate loosening of financial conditions since the release of the December dot plot has perhaps had the effect of a de facto rate cut or two.
- Zero Hedge, 02 January 2024
